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We study the impact of parameter estimation and state measurement errors on a control framework for optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-08 Baike She , Lei Xin , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

Propagation of contagion in networks depends on the graph topology. This paper is concerned with studying the time-asymptotic behavior of the extended contact processes on static, undirected, finite-size networks. This is a contact process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-03 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

Recent studies in network science and control have shown a meaningful relationship between the epidemic processes (e.g., COVID-19 spread) and some network properties. This paper studies how such network properties, namely clustering…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee

This paper continues our previous study on spreading processes in inhomogeneous populations consisting of susceptible and immune individuals [V. Blavatska, Yu. Holovatch, Physica A 573, 125980 (2021)]. A special role in such populations is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-03-21 V. Blavatska , Yu. Holovatch

We present a finite-size scaling theory of a contact process with permanent immunity on uncorrelated scale-free networks. We model an epidemic outbreak by an analog of the susceptible-infected-removed model where an infected individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-20 D. S. M. Alencar , T. F. A. Alves , F. W. S. Lima , G. A. Alves , A. Macedo-Filho , R. S. Ferreira

In this paper we quantify the total economic impact of an epidemic over a complex network using tools from random matrix theory. Incorporating the direct and indirect costs of infection, we calculate the disease cost in the large graph…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-10 Subhonmesh Bose , Elizabeth Bodine-Baron , Babak Hassibi , Adam Wierman

Spreading processes have been largely studied in the literature, both analytically and by means of large-scale numerical simulations. These processes mainly include the propagation of diseases, rumors and information on top of a given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-10 Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

Spreading processes represent a very efficient tool to investigate the structural properties of networks and the relative importance of their constituents, and have been widely used to this aim in static networks. Here we consider simple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Michele Starnini , Anna Machens , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

Infectious diseases typically spread over a contact network with millions of individuals, whose sheer size is a tremendous challenge to analysing and controlling an epidemic outbreak. For some contact networks, it is possible to group…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Karel Devriendt , Piet Van Mieghem

Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

Two simple agent based models are often employed in epidemic studies: the susceptible-infected (SI) and the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS). Both models describe the time evolution of infectious diseases in networks in which vertices…

Modeling the spread of infections on networks is a well-studied and important field of research. Most infection and diffusion models require a real value or probability on the edges of the network as an input, but this is rarely available…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-26 Andras Bota , Lauren Gardner

The outbreak of a pandemic, such as COVID-19, causes major health crises worldwide. Typical measures to contain the rapid spread usually include effective vaccination and strict interventions (Nature Human Behaviour, 2021). Motivated by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Gargi Bakshi , Sujoy Bhore , Suraj Shetiya

The most frequent infectious diseases in humans - and those with the highest potential for rapid pandemic spread - are usually transmitted via droplets during close proximity interactions (CPIs). Despite the importance of this transmission…

The vanishing epidemic threshold for viruses spreading on scale-free networks indicate that traditional methods, aiming to decrease a virus' spreading rate cannot succeed in eradicating an epidemic. We demonstrate that policies that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Zoltan Dezso , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

In this article, we proposed a susceptible-infected model with identical infectivity, in which, at every time step, each node can only contact a constant number of neighbors. We implemented this model on scale-free networks, and found that…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Jian-Guo Liu , Wen-Jie Bai , Guanrong Chen , Bing-Hong Wang

Understanding the impact of network clustering and small-world properties on epidemic spread can be crucial in developing effective strategies for managing and controlling infectious diseases. Particularly in this work, we study the impact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Houman Zarrabi , Azam Doustmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee

In this paper, we investigate game-theoretic strategies for containing spreading processes on large-scale networks. Specifically, we consider the class of networked susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemics where a large population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 Abhisek Satapathi , Ashish R. Hota