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The main focus of this article is to provide a mathematical study of the algorithm proposed in \cite{boyaval2010variance} where the authors proposed a variance reduction technique for the computation of parameter-dependent expectations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Mohamed-Raed Blel , Virginie Ehrlacher , Tony Lelièvre

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

This is basically a review of the field of Quasi-Monte Carlo intended for computational physicists and other potential users of quasi-random numbers. As such, much of the material is not new, but is presented here in a style hopefully more…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-11-11 Fred James , Jiri Hoogland , Ronald Kleiss

We consider systems of slow--fast diffusions with small noise in the slow component. We construct provably logarithmic asymptotically optimal importance schemes for the estimation of rare events based on the moderate deviations principle.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We live in a multivariate world, and effective modeling of financial portfolios, including their construction, allocation, forecasting, and risk analysis, simply is not possible without explicitly modeling the dependence structure of their…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 JD Opdyke

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for Gaussian approximations of intractable posteriors. Optimization-based approximations like variational inference can be too inaccurate while existing Monte Carlo methods can be too slow.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-04 Willem van den Boom , Andrea Cremaschi , Alexandre H. Thiery

Invariant sets define regions of the state space where system constraints are always satisfied. The majority of numerical techniques for computing invariant sets have been developed for discrete-time systems with a fixed sampling time.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-16 Spencer Schutz , Charlott Vallon , Ben Recht , Francesco Borrelli

A new approach of obtaining stratified random samples from statistically dependent random variables is described. The proposed method can be used to obtain samples from the input space of a computer forward model in estimating expectations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Anirban Mondal , Abhijit Mandal

Testing for association or dependence between pairs of random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics. In some applications, data are subject to selection bias that causes dependence between observations even when it is absent from…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Yaniv Tenzer , Micha Mandel , Or Zuk

We describe an adaptive importance sampling algorithm for rare events that is based on a dual stochastic control formulation of a path sampling problem. Specifically, we focus on path functionals that have the form of cumulate generating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

We study the expected star discrepancy under a newly designed class of non-equal volume partitions. The main contributions are twofold. First, we establish a strong partition principle for the star discrepancy, showing that our newly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Xiaoda Xu

Understanding decisions made by neural networks is key for the deployment of intelligent systems in real world applications. However, the opaque decision making process of these systems is a disadvantage where interpretability is essential.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kai Fischer , Jonas Schneider

Given a real symmetric positive semi-definite matrix E, and an approximation S that is a sum of n independent matrix-valued random variables, we present bounds on the relative error in S due to randomization. The bounds do not depend on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-03 John T. Holodnak , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Ralph C. Smith

In a bivariate setting, we consider the problem of detecting a sparse contamination or mixture component, where the effect manifests itself as a positive dependence between the variables, which are otherwise independent in the main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Ery Arias-Castro , Rong Huang , Nicolas Verzelen

We consider Monte Carlo approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants. This paper deals with adaptive Monte Carlo algorithms, which adjust control parameters in the course of simulation. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Damien Bosc , Alfred Galichon

We use the framework of dependence to assess the benefits of scrambling randomly versus deterministically for Faure and Halton sequences. We attempt to answer the following questions: when a deterministic sequence has known defects for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 Henri Faure , Gracia Y. Dong , Christiane Lemieux

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Estimating the dependency of variables is a fundamental task in data analysis. Identifying the relevant attributes in databases leads to better data understanding and also improves the performance of learning algorithms, both in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-05 Edouard Fouché , Klemens Böhm

Bootstrapping was designed to randomly resample data from a fixed sample using Monte Carlo techniques. However, the original sample itself defines a discrete distribution. Convolutional methods are well suited for discrete distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Jared M. Clark , Richard L. Warr