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For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…
We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…
Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…
Multi-step stock price prediction over a long-term horizon is crucial for forecasting its volatility, allowing financial institutions to price and hedge derivatives, and banks to quantify the risk in their trading books. Additionally, most…
This paper proposes a new integrated variance estimator based on order statistics within the framework of jump-diffusion models. Its ability to disentangle the integrated variance from the total process quadratic variation is confirmed by…
Identifying the instances of jumps in a discrete-time-series sample of a jump diffusion model is a challenging task. We have developed a novel statistical technique for jump detection and volatility estimation in a return time series data…
We are interested in stochastic control problems coming from mathematical finance and, in particular, related to model uncertainty, where the uncertainty affects both volatility and intensity. This kind of stochastic control problems is…
We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…
In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…
We consider unbiased estimation of a sparse nonrandom vector corrupted by additive white Gaussian noise. We show that while there are infinitely many unbiased estimators for this problem, none of them has uniformly minimum variance.…
The main goal of this paper is to investigate the multi-parameter stability result for a stochastic fractional differential variational inequality with L\'{e}vy jump (SFDVI with L\'{e}vy jump) under some mild conditions. We verify that…
This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion factor process. The…
We consider non-degenerate SDEs with a $\beta$-Holder continuous and bounded drift term and driven by a Levy noise $L$ which is of $\alpha$-stable type. If $\alpha \in [1,2)$ and $\beta \in (1 - \frac{\alpha}{2},1) $ we show pathwise…
In this paper, we propose a new jump robust quantile-based realised variance measure of ex-post return variation that can be computed using potentially noisy data. The estimator is consistent for the integrated variance and we present…
The equation with the time fractional substantial derivative and space fractional derivative describes the distribution of the functionals of the L\'evy flights; and the equation is derived as the macroscopic limit of the continuous time…
We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift and diffusion coefficients of a Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE), based on $n$ independent replicates $\left\{X_i(t)\::\: t\in [0,1]\right\}_{1 \leq i \leq n}$, observed…
Financial returns are known to exhibit heavy tails, volatility clustering and abrupt jumps that are poorly captured by classical diffusion models. Advances in machine learning have enabled highly flexible functional forms for conditional…
In this paper, we, for the first time, establish two comparison theorems for multi-dimensional backward stochastic differential equations with jumps. Our approach is novel and completely different from the existing results for…
The estimation of the L\'{e}vy density, the infinite-dimensional parameter controlling the jump dynamics of a L\'{e}vy process, is considered here under a discrete-sampling scheme. In this setting, the jumps are latent variables, the…
Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…