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We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

In signed networks, some existing community detection methods treat negative connections as intercommunity links and positive ones as intracommunity links. However, it is important to recognize that negative links on real-world networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-17 Peng Zhang , Xianyu Xu , Leyang Xue

Verification of infinite-state Markov chains is still a challenge despite several fruitful numerical or statistical approaches. For decisive Markov chains, there is a simple numerical algorithm that frames the reachability probability as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Benoît Barbot , Patricia Bouyer , Serge Haddad

We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Andi Q. Wang , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

Metastability is a physical phenomenon ubiquitous in first order phase transitions. A fruitful mathematical way to approach this phenomenon is the study of rare transitions Markov chains. For Metropolis chains associated with Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Emilio Cirillo , Francesca Nardi , Julien Sohier

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

In evolving complex systems such as air traffic and social organizations, collective effects emerge from their many components' dynamic interactions. While the dynamic interactions can be represented by temporal networks with nodes and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Tiago P. Peixoto , Martin Rosvall

We construct a generic, simple, and efficient scheduling policy for stochastic processing networks, and provide a general framework to establish its stability. Our policy is randomized and prioritized: with high probability it prioritizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Antonius B. Dieker , Jinwoo Shin

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

Markov decision processes (MDP) are a well-established model for sequential decision-making in the presence of probabilities. In robust MDP (RMDP), every action is associated with an uncertainty set of probability distributions, modelling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger , Patrick Wienhöft

Given an infinitesimal perturbation of a discrete-time finite Markov chain, we seek the states that are stable despite the perturbation, \textit{i.e.} the states whose weights in the stationary distributions can be bounded away from $0$ as…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Volker Betz , Stephane Le Roux

Stochastic network calculus is a theory for stochastic service guarantee analysis of computer communication networks. In the current stochastic network calculus literature, its traffic and server models are typically based on the cumulative…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-06-11 J. Xie , Y. Jiang

Dynamic community detection concerns inferring how community memberships evolve over time, including the emergence, persistence, merging, and dissolution of groups in temporal networks. We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Xenia Miscouridou , Francesca Panero , Antreas Laos

Extensions of Kemeny's constant, as derived for irreducible finite Markov chains in discrete time, to Markov renewal processes and Markov chains in continuous time are discussed. Three alternative Kemeny's functions and their variants are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Jeffrey J Hunter

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We propose a method for approximating solutions to optimization problems involving the global stability properties of parameter-dependent continuous-time autonomous dynamical systems. The method relies on an approximation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-12 Péter Koltai , Alexander Volf

Randomly-assembled dynamical systems are theoretically predicted to be unstable upon crossing a critical threshold of complexity, as first shown by May. Yet, empirical complex systems exhibit remarkable stability, indicating the presence of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-03-31 Francesco Ferraro , Christian Grilletta , Amos Maritan , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele

The concept of community detection has long been used as a key device for handling the mesoscale structures in networks. Suitably conducted community detection reveals various embedded informative substructures of network topology. However,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-28 Daekyung Lee , Sang Hoon Lee , Beom Jun Kim , Heetae Kim

Random walks on simple graphs in connection with electrical resistor networks lead to the definition of Markov chains with transition probability matrix in terms of electrical conductances. We extend this definition to an effective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-20 Nelson Augusto Alves