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In this paper we investigate a problem of large deviations for continuous Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study the behavior, in the near future after $T$, of a Volterra process driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Barbara Pacchiarotti

We consider so-called regular invertible Gaussian Volterra processes and derive a formula for their prediction laws. Examples of such processes include the fractional Brownian motions and the mixed fractional Brownian motions. As an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-11 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

We consider a Gaussian Volterra process with compound Poisson jumps and derive its prediction law.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani , Foad Shokrollahi , Tommi Sottinen

We consider Volterra Gaussian processes on [0,T], where T>0 is a fixed time horizon. These are processes of type X_t=\int^t_0 z_X(t,s)dW_s, t\in[0,T], where z_X is a square-integrable kernel, and W is a standard Brownian motion. An example…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Celine Jost

In this paper, we consider a general class of stochastic Volterra equations with small noise. Our aim is to study the fluctuation of the solution around its deterministic limit. We use the techniques of Malliavin calculus to show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 N. T. Dung , N. T. Hang

We study the existence and uniqueness of solutions to stochastic differential equations with Volterra processes driven by L\'evy noise. For this purpose, we study in detail smoothness properties of these processes. Special attention is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

This paper generalizes the integration theory for volatility modulated Brownian-driven Volterra processes onto the space G* of Potthoff-Timpel distributions. Sufficient conditions for integrability of generalized processes are given,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-06 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Fred Espen Benth , Benedykt Szozda

By now Bayesian methods are routinely used in practice for solving inverse problems. In inverse problems the parameter or signal of interest is observed only indirectly, as an image of a given map, and the observations are typically further…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Thibault Randrianarisoa , Botond Szabo

We study local quasihelix and generalized quasihelix properties of several Gaussian Volterra processes with tempered, power-weighted, and logarithmic kernels, including tempered fractional Brownian motions and generalized fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Many control tasks can be formulated as a tracking problem of a known or unknown reference signal. Examples are movement compensation in collaborative robotics, the synchronisation of oscillations for power systems or reference tracking of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Janine Matschek , Andreas Himmel , Kai Sundmacher , Rolf Findeisen

We study the motion of an inertial particle in a fractional Gaussian random field. The motion of the particle is described by Newton's second law, where the force is proportional to the difference between a background fluid velocity and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-03-20 Georg Schöchtel

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

Bayesian methods estimate a measure of uncertainty by using the posterior distribution. One source of difficulty in these methods is the computation of the normalizing constant. Calculating exact posterior is generally intractable and we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Farzaneh Mahdisoltani

I derive the pointwise conditional means and variances of an arbitrary Gauss-Markov process, given noisy observations of points on a sample path. These moments depend on the process's mean and covariance functions, and on the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Benjamin Davies

Many robotic tasks, such as human-robot interactions or the handling of fragile objects, require tight control and limitation of appearing forces and moments alongside sensible motion control to achieve safe yet high-performance operation.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Janine Matschek , Johanna Bethge , Rolf Findeisen

In this paper, we present a robust and adaptive model predictive control (MPC) framework for uncertain nonlinear systems affected by bounded disturbances and unmodeled nonlinearities. We use Gaussian Processes (GPs) to learn the uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Mathieu Dubied , Amon Lahr , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We construct the basis of a stochastic calculus for so-called Volterra processes, i.e., processes which are defined as the stochastic integral of a time-dependent kernel with respect to a standard Brownian motion. For these processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Decreusefond

The purpose of this paper is to establish the multivariate normal convergence for the average of certain Volterra processes constructed from a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2. Some applications to parameter estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-12 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart , Rola Zintout

Mixture models are widely used in Bayesian statistics and machine learning, in particular in computational biology, natural language processing and many other fields. Variational inference, a technique for approximating intractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier
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