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We consider estimation and inference in a single index regression model with an unknown but smooth link function. In contrast to the standard approach of using kernels or regression splines, we use smoothing splines to estimate the smooth…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-28 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Rohit Kumar Patra

Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-16 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson process. It is well-known that if the regularity conditions are fulfilled then the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are consistent,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

Distributed statistical inference has recently attracted immense attention. The asymptotic efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the one-step MLE, and the aggregated estimating equation estimator are established for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Ping Zhou , Zhen Yu , Jingyi Ma , Maozai Tian , Ye Fan

Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) have recently gained a lot of attention in machine learning. However, the theoretical aspects, e.g., identifiability and asymptotic properties of statistical estimation are still obscure. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuanyuan Wang , Wei Huang , Mingming Gong , Xi Geng , Tongliang Liu , Kun Zhang , Dacheng Tao

Parameter identification problems in partial differential equations (PDEs) consist in determining one or more functional coefficient in a PDE. In this article, the Bayesian nonparametric approach to such problems is considered. Focusing on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Matteo Giordano

The parameter estimation of unnormalized models is a challenging problem. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is computationally infeasible for these models since normalizing constants are not explicitly calculated. Although some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Masatoshi Uehara , Takafumi Kanamori , Takashi Takenouchi , Takeru Matsuda

In this article, we study a partially linear single-index model for longitudinal data under a general framework which includes both the sparse and dense longitudinal data cases. A semiparametric estimation method based on a combination of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Jia Chen , Degui Li , Hua Liang , Suojin Wang

Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 François Bachoc

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

We study parameter estimation for univariate stochastic differential equations with locally Lipschitz drift and H\"older continuous multiplicative diffusion, a class commonly arising in several applications. Existing inference methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Bowen Fang , Dario Spanò , Massimiliano Tamborrino

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

We study statistical estimators computed using iterative optimization methods that are not run until completion. Classical results on maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) assert that a one-step estimator (OSE), in which a single…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Robert Bassett , Julio Deride

In this work, we propose a subsystem decomposition approach and a distributed estimation scheme for a class of implicit two-time-scale nonlinear systems. Taking the advantage of the two-time-scale separation, these processes are decomposed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Sarupa Debnath , Soumya Ranjan Sahoo , Benjamin Decardi-Nelson , Jinfeng Liu

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

Linear birth-and-death processes (LBDPs) are foundational stochastic models in population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and hematopoiesis. Estimating parameters from discretely observed data is computationally demanding due to irregular…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiaochen Long , Marek Kimmel

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

Identifying parameters in a system of nonlinear, ordinary differential equations is vital for designing a robust controller. However, if the system is stochastic in its nature or if only noisy measurements are available, standard…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Tobias Nagel , Marco F. Huber

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…