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This paper considers estimating the parameters in a regime-switching stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) noise. The model under consideration incorporates a continuous-time finite state Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-10 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Ordinary differential equations (ODE's) are widespread models in physics, chemistry and biology. In particular, this mathematical formalism is used for describing the evolution of complex systems and it might consist of high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-22 Nicolas J-B. Brunel

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

This paper studies the properties of debiased machine learning (DML) estimators under a novel asymptotic framework, offering insights for improving the performance of these estimators in applications. DML is an estimation method suited to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-05 Amilcar Velez

In this paper, we propose a new asymptotic expansion approach for nonlinear filtering based on a small parameter in the system noise. This method expresses the filtering distribution as a power series in the noise level, where the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Masahiro Kurisaki

We study asymptotic properties of some (essentially conditional least squares) parameter estimators for the subcritical Heston model based on discrete time observations derived from conditional least squares estimators of some modified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap , Tamas T. Szabo

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

The stochastic partial differential equation approach to Gaussian processes (GPs) represents Mat\'ern GP priors in terms of $n$ finite element basis functions and Gaussian coefficients with sparse precision matrix. Such representations…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-11 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

In this article, we introduce the joint maximum a posteriori state path and parameter estimator (JME) for continuous-time systems described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs). This estimator can be applied to nonlinear systems with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra , Bruno Otávio Soares Teixeira , Luis Antonio Aguirre

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic properties of the Two-Stage (TS) estimator -- a simulation-based parameter estimation method that constructs estimators offline from synthetic data. While TS offers significant computational…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan , Cristian R. Rojas

The classical state-space approach to optimal estimation of stochastic processes is efficient when the driving noises are generated by martingales. In particular, the weight function of the optimal linear filter, which solves a complicated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-13 D. Afterman , P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

This paper proposes feasible asymptotically efficient estimators for a certain class of Gaussian noises with self-similar and stationary properties, which includes the fractional Gaussian noise, under high frequency observations. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Masaaki Fukasawa , Tetsuya Takabatake

We explore various estimators for the parameters of a pair-copula construction (PCC), among those the stepwise semiparametric (SSP) estimator, designed for this dependence structure. We present its asymptotic properties, as well as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Ingrid Hobæk Haff

In this paper, we consider the problem of distributed parameter estimation in sensor networks. Each sensor makes successive observations of an unknown $d$-dimensional parameter, which might be subject to Gaussian random noises. They aim to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-22 Jiaqi Yan , Hideaki Ishii

From a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametrical estimator for the spectral density of a Gaussian process with stationary increments. First, the idealistic case of a continuous time path of the process is considered. A punctual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-03 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand , Véronique Billat

We propose a minimum distance estimator (MDE) for parameter identification in misspecified models characterized by a sequence of ergodic stochastic processes that converge weakly to the model of interest. The data is generated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Jaroslav I. Borodavka , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic differential equations driven by small fractional noise. Under some conditions, we obtain strong consistency and rate of convergence of the least square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 S. Nakajima , S. Nakamura , Y. Shimizu