English
Related papers

Related papers: Copula-based algorithm for generating bursty time …

200 papers

Longitudinal and survival sub-models are two building blocks for joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data. Extensive research indicates separate analysis of these two processes could result in biased outputs due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

We tackle the problem of multi-task learning with copula process. Multivariable prediction in spatial and spatial-temporal processes such as natural resource estimation and pollution monitoring have been typically addressed using techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-03 Markus Schneider , Fabio Ramos

Data-driven emulation of nonlinear dynamics is challenging due to long-range skill decay that often produces physically unrealistic outputs. Recent advances in generative modeling aim to address these issues by providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Juan Nathaniel , Pierre Gentine

This study aims to capture aerodynamic causality from snapshot data with a time-varying mode decomposition technique referred to as information-theoretic machine learning. The current approach extracts time-dependent informative vortical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-19 Ryo Koshikawa , Ryo Araki , Qiong Liu , Kai Fukami

We develop a robust data fusion algorithm for field reconstruction of multiple physical phenomena. The contribution of this paper is twofold: First, we demonstrate how multi-spatial fields which can have any marginal distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Pengfei Zhang , Gareth W. Peters , Ido Nevat , Keng Boon Teo , Yixin Wang

Copula-based methods provide a flexible approach to build missing data imputation models of multivariate data of mixed types. However, the choice of copula function is an open question. We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Jiali Wang , Anton Westveld , Bronwyn Loong , Alan Welsh

This article presents factor copula approaches to model temporal dependency of non-Gaussian (continuous/discrete) longitudinal data. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas which explain the underlying dependence structure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Models of narrative schema knowledge have proven useful for a range of event-related tasks, but they typically do not capture the temporal relationships between events. We propose a single model that addresses both temporal ordering,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Shih-Ting Lin , Nathanael Chambers , Greg Durrett

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , James Robert Lloyd , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

This article proposes a graphical model that handles mixed-type, multi-group data. The motivation for such a model originates from real-world observational data, which often contain groups of samples obtained under heterogeneous conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-02 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Pariya Behrouzi

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Multivariate datasets are common in various real-world applications. Recently, copulas have received significant attention for modeling dependencies among random variables. A copula-based information measure is required to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mohd. Arshad , Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Ashok Kumar Pathak

We present a generative model for representing and reasoning about the relationships among events in continuous time. We apply the model to the domain of networked and distributed computing environments where we fit the parameters of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Aleksandr Simma , Moises Goldszmidt , John MacCormick , Paul Barham , Richard Black , Rebecca Isaacs , Richard Mortier

We provide an integral representation for the (implied) copulas of dependent random variables in terms of their moment generating functions. The proof uses ideas from Fourier methods for option pricing. This representation can be used for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Antonis Papapantoleon

Copulas are mathematical tools for modeling joint probability distributions. Since copulas enable one to conveniently treat the marginal distribution of each variable and the interdependencies among variables separately, in the past 60…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-28 Daiwei Zhu , Weiwei Shen , Annarita Giani , Saikat Ray Majumder , Bogdan Neculaes , Sonika Johri

Most real-world dynamic systems are composed of different components that often evolve at very different rates. In traditional temporal graphical models, such as dynamic Bayesian networks, time is modeled at a fixed granularity, generally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Suchi Saria , Uri Nodelman , Daphne Koller

The study of times to nonterminal events of different types and their interrelation is a compelling area of interest. The primary challenge in analyzing such multivariate event times is the presence of informative censoring by the terminal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Xinyuan Chen , Yiwei Li , Qian M. Zhou

Solar flares, email exchanges, and many natural or social systems exhibit bursty dynamics, with periods of intense activity separated by long inactivity. These patterns often follow power- law distributions in inter-event intervals or event…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-23 Pavlo Bulanchuk , Sue Ann Koay , Sandro Romani