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In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Nonlinear optical cavities are crucial both in classical and quantum optics; in particular, nowadays optical parametric oscillators are one of the most versatile and tunable sources of coherent light, as well as the sources of the highest…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-22 Carlos Navarrete-Benlloch , Eugenio Roldán , Yue Chang , Tao Shi

Bayes' rule tells us how to invert a causal process in order to update our beliefs in light of new evidence. If the process is believed to have a complex compositional structure, we may ask whether composing the inversions of the component…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Toby St. Clere Smithe

Bayesian optimization works effectively optimizing parameters in black-box problems. However, this method did not work for high-dimensional parameters in limited trials. Parameters can be efficiently explored by nonlinearly embedding them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shoki Miyagawa , Atsuyoshi Yano , Naoko Sawada , Isamu Ogawa

We investigate methods to calibrate the non-common path aberrations at an adaptive optics system having a wavefront-correcting device working at an extremely high resolution (larger than 150x150). We use focal-plane images collected…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Visa Korkiakoski , Christoph U. Keller , Niek Doelman , Matthew Kenworthy , Gilles Otten , Michel Verhaegen

This presentation describes the Bayesian Block algorithm in the context of its application to analysis of time series data from the Fermi Gamma Ray Space Telescope. More generally this algorithm performs optimal segmentation analysis on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-05-28 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

Consider the problem of minimizing an expected logarithmic loss over either the probability simplex or the set of quantum density matrices. This problem includes tasks such as solving the Poisson inverse problem, computing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Chung-En Tsai , Hao-Chung Cheng , Yen-Huan Li

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for nonlinear inverse problems within the Bayesian framework. Optimizing the data acquisition process for large-scale nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems is a computationally challenging task…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Karina Koval , Ruanui Nicholson

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

We derive a family of loss functions to train models in the presence of sampling bias. Examples are when the prevalence of a pathology differs from its sampling rate in the training dataset, or when a machine learning practioner rebalances…

The experimental problem of converting a measured binomial quantity, the fraction of events in a sample that pass a cut, into a physical binomial quantity, the fraction of events originating from a signal source, is described as a system of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Kelly

Optimal portfolio allocation is often formulated as a constrained risk problem, where one aims to minimize a risk measure subject to some performance constraints. This paper presents new Bayesian Optimization algorithms for such constrained…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li

Bayesian receiver autonomous integrity monitoring (RAIM) algorithms are developed for the snapshot cellular positioning problem in a simplified one-dimensional (1D) linear Gaussian setting. Position estimation, multi-fault detection and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-15 Liqin Ding , Gonzalo Seco-Granados , Hyowon Kim , Russ Whiton , Erik G. Ström , Jonas Sjöberg , Henk Wymeersch

In this thesis, a Bayes linear methodology for the adjustment of covariance matrices is presented and discussed. A geometric framework for quantifying uncertainties about covariance matrices is set up, and an inner-product for spaces of…

bayes-an · Physics 2016-08-31 Darren J Wilkinson

Bayesian filtering deals with computing the posterior distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamic system given noisy observations. In this paper, motivated by applications in counter-adversarial systems, we consider the following…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-28 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

In this paper, the problem of finding optimal success probabilities of static linear optics quantum gates is linked to the theory of convex optimization. It is shown that by exploiting this link, upper bounds for the success probability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Eisert