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Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

Although asymptotic analyses of undirected network models based on degree sequences have started to appear in recent literature, it remains an open problem to study statistical properties of directed network models. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Ting Yan , Chenlei Leng , Ji Zhu

We compute the leading asymptotics as $N\to\infty$ of the maximum of the field $Q_N(q)= \log\det|q- A_N|$, $q\in \mathbb{C}$, for any unitarily invariant Hermitian random matrix $A_N$ associated to a non-critical real-analytic potential.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Gaultier Lambert , Elliot Paquette

For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

We prove optimal bounds for the convergence rate of ordinal embedding (also known as non-metric multidimensional scaling) in the 1-dimensional case. The examples witnessing optimality of our bounds arise from a result in additive number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Jordan S. Ellenberg , Lalit Jain

Proper continued fractions are generalized continued fractions with positive integer numerators $a_i$ and integer denominators with $b_i\geq a_i$. In this paper we study the strength of approximation of irrational numbers to their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Niels Langeveld , David Ralston

This paper gives a new representation of Pickands' constants, which arise in the study of extremes for a variety of Gaussian processes. Using this representation, we resolve the long-standing problem of devising a reliable algorithm for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 A. B. Dieker , B. Yakir

Stretched exponential probability density functions (pdf), having the form of the exponential of minus a fractional power of the argument, are commonly found in turbulence and other areas. They can arise because of an underlying random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 U. Frisch , D. Sornette

Understanding rare events is critical across domains ranging from signal processing to reliability and structural safety, extreme-weather forecasting, and insurance. The analysis of rare events is a computationally challenging problem,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Anya Katsevich , Alexander Katsevich

We study the distribution of partition parts in arithmetic progressions and find asymptotic results that capture all exponentially growing terms. This is accomplished by studying the behavior of non-modular Eisenstein series that appear in…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Kathrin Bringmann , Caner Nazaroglu , Jan-Willem M. van Ittersum

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

Our contribution is to widen the scope of extreme value analysis applied to discrete-valued data. Extreme values of a random variable $X$ are commonly modeled using the generalized Pareto distribution, a method that often gives good results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Adrien Hitz , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We prove the convergence at an exponential rate towards the invariant probability measure for a class of solutions of stochastic differential equations with finite delay. This is done, in this non-Markovian setting, using the cluster…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Laure Pédèches

Detecting anomalies in a temporal sequence of graphs can be applied is areas such as the detection of accidents in transport networks and cyber attacks in computer networks. Existing methods for detecting abnormal graphs can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Conrad Sanderson , Rob J. Hyndman

Recently, the notion of implicit extreme value distributions has been established, which is based on a given loss function $f \ge 0$. From an application point of view, one is rather interested in extreme loss events that occur relative to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Dustin Kremer

Special kinds of continued fractions have been proved to converge to transcendental real numbers by means of the celebrated Subspace Theorem. In this paper we study the analogous $p$--adic problem. More specifically, we deal with Browkin…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Ignazio Longhi , Nadir Murru , Francesco Maria Saettone

In this paper we investigate the Burr distributions family which contains twelve members. Second order expansions of quantiles of the Burr's distributions are provided on which may be based statistical methods, in particular in extreme…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-24 Moumouni Diallo , Modou Ngom , Soumaila Dembele , Gane Samb Lo

We study the persistence probability for processes with stationary increments. Our results apply to a number of examples: sums of stationary correlated random variables whose scaling limit is fractional Brownian motion, random walks in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

We develop a method for the evaluation of extreme event statistics associated with nonlinear dynamical systems, using a small number of samples. From an initial dataset of design points, we formulate a sequential strategy that provides the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

We describe various properties of continued fraction expansions of complex numbers in terms of Gaussian integers. Numerous distinct such expansions are possible for a complex number. They can be arrived at through various algorithms, as…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-21 S. G. Dani , Arnaldo Nogueira