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During recent years the online social networks (in particular Twitter) have become an important alternative information channel to traditional media during natural disasters, but the amount and diversity of messages poses the challenge of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Alfredo Cobo , Denis Parra , Jaime Navón

The midlatitude climate and weather are shaped by storms, yet the factors governing their predictability remain insufficiently understood. Here, we use a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict and quantify uncertainty in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-30 Wuqiushi Yao , Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

We implement traditional machine learning and deep learning methods for global tweets from 2017-2022 to build a high-frequency measure of the public's sentiment index on inflation and analyze its correlation with other online data sources…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Xinyu Li , Zihan Tang

The shared real-time information about natural disasters on social media platforms like Twitter and Facebook plays a critical role in informing volunteers, emergency managers, and response organizations. However, supervised learning models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Henry Peng Zou , Yue Zhou , Cornelia Caragea , Doina Caragea

The massive amount of text data on the web has facilitated research on the quantitative analysis of public opinion, which could not be visualized earlier. In this paper, we propose a new opinion dynamics theory. This theory that is intended…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-01 Akira Ishii , Yasuko Kawahata

The rich and dynamic information environment of social media provides researchers, policy makers, and entrepreneurs with opportunities to learn about social phenomena in a timely manner. However, using this data to understand social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Siyi Guo , Zihao He , Ashwin Rao , Eugene Jang , Yuanfeixue Nan , Fred Morstatter , Jeffrey Brantingham , Kristina Lerman

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

Social media has become an important tool to share information about crisis events such as natural disasters and mass attacks. Detecting actionable posts that contain useful information requires rapid analysis of huge volume of data in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Evangelia Spiliopoulou , Salvador Medina Maza , Eduard Hovy , Alexander Hauptmann

Social media users share their ideas, thoughts, and emotions with other users. However, it is not clear how online users would respond to new research outcomes. This study aims to predict the nature of the emotions expressed by Twitter…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Murtuza Shahzad , Hamed Alhoori

Information flow during catastrophic events is a critical aspect of disaster management. Modern communication platforms, in particular online social networks, provide an opportunity to study such flow, and a mean to derive early-warning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Yury Kryvasheyeu , Haohui Chen , Esteban Moro , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Manuel Cebrian

"Media events" such as political debates generate conditions of shared attention as many users simultaneously tune in with the dual screens of broadcast and social media to view and participate. Are collective patterns of user behavior…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Yu-Ru Lin , Brian Keegan , Drew Margolin , David Lazer

During the summer of 2019-20, while Australia suffered unprecedented bushfires across the country, false narratives regarding arson and limited backburning spread quickly on Twitter, particularly using the hashtag #ArsonEmergency.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Derek Weber , Mehwish Nasim , Lucia Falzon , Lewis Mitchell

Social media has become extremely influential when it comes to policy making in modern societies, especially in the western world, where platforms such as Twitter allow users to follow politicians, thus making citizens more involved in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Dimosthenis Antypas , Alun Preece , Jose Camacho-Collados

New York City (NYC) topped the global chart for the worst air pollution in June 2023, owing to the wildfire smoke drifting in from Canada. This unprecedented situation caused significant travel disruptions and shifts in traditional activity…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Khondhaker Al Momin , Md Sami Hasnine , Arif Mohaimin Sadri

Information from social media can provide essential information for emergency response during natural disasters in near real-time. However, it is difficult to identify the disaster-related posts among the large amounts of unstructured data…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-20 David Hanny , Sebastian Schmidt , Bernd Resch

U.S. Presidential Election forecasting has been a research interest for several decades. Currently, election prediction consists of two main approaches: traditional models that incorporate economic data and poll surveys, and models that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Guocheng Feng , Huaiyu Cai , Kaihao Chen , Zhijian Li

Microblogging websites, especially Twitter have become an important means of communication, in today's time. Often these services have been found to be faster than conventional news services. With millions of users, a need was felt to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-08-01 Chirag Nagpal , Khushboo Singhal

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

With Twitter's growth and popularity, a huge number of views are shared by users on various topics, making this platform a valuable information source on various political, social, and economic issues. This paper investigates English tweets…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Hamed Vahdat-Nejad , Mohammad Ghasem Akbari , Fatemeh Salmani , Faezeh Azizi , Hamid-Reza Nili-Sani

This discussion paper demonstrates how longitudinal sentiment analyses can depict intertemporal dynamics on social media platforms, what challenges are inherent and how further research could benefit from a longitudinal perspective.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Dennis Klinkhammer