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We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

In this article, we obtain properties of the law associated to the first hitting time of a threshold by a one-dimensional uniformly elliptic diffusion process and to the associated process stopped at the threshold. Our methodology relies on…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Noufel Frikha , Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Libo Li

For first passage percolation (FPP) on Euclidean lattices $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with $d\ge 2$, it is expected that the variance of the first passage time between two points grows sublinearly in the distance with a universal exponent strictly…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Riddhipratim Basu , Vladas Sidoravicius , Allan Sly

In this article we study a problem related to the first passage and inverse first passage time problems for Brownian motions originally formulated by Jackson, Kreinin and Zhang (2009). Specifically, define $\tau_X = \inf\{t>0:W_t + X \le…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Sebastian Jaimungal , Alex Kreinin , Angelo Valov

Many transport processes in ecology, physics and biochemistry can be described by the average time to first find a site or exit a region, starting from an initial position. Typical mathematical treatments are based on formulations that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Thomas Hillen , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Jacob C. Mantooth , Alan E. Lindsay

These notes are based on the lectures that I gave (virtually) at the Bruneck Summer School in 2021 on first-passage processes and some applications of the basic theory. I begin by defining what is a first-passage process and presenting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 S. Redner

Nearly fifty years after the introduction of skew Brownian motion by It\^o and McKean (1963), the first passage time distribution remains unknown. In this paper, we generalize results of Pitman and Yor (2001) and Cs\'aki and Hu (2004) to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Thilanka Appuhamillage , Daniel Sheldon

We consider the first-passage problem for $N$ identical independent particles that are initially released uniformly in a finite domain $\Omega$ and then diffuse toward a reactive area $\Gamma$, which can be part of the outer boundary of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-14 Denis S. Grebenkov , Ralf Metzler , Gleb Oshanin

We compute the joint distribution of the first times a linear diffusion makes an excursion longer than some given duration above (resp. below) some fixed level. In the literature, such stopping times have been introduced and studied in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Christophe Profeta

A phenomenological model for a measurement of barrier traversal times for particles is proposed. Two idealized detectors for passage and arrival provide entrance and exit times for the barrier traversal. The averaged traversal time is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. P. Palao , J. G. Muga , S. Brouard , A. Jadczyk

Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Giovanni Conforti , Tetiana Kosenkova , Sylvie Roelly

We consider a continuous-time random walk model with finite-mean waiting-times and we study the mean first-passage time (MFPT) as estimated by an observer in a reference frame $\mathcal{S}$, that is co-moving with a target, and by an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-14 Marcus Dahlenburg , Gianni Pagnini

We investigate the first-passage dynamics of symmetric and asymmetric L\'evy flights in a semi-infinite and bounded intervals. By solving the space-fractional diffusion equation, we analyse the fractional-order moments of the first-passage…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 Amin Padash , Aleksei V. Chechkin , Bartłomiej Dybiec , Marcin Magdziarz , Babak Shokri , Ralf Metzler

As a first step in the first passage problem for passive tracer in stratified porous media, we consider the case of a two-dimensional system consisting of two layers with different convection velocities. Using a lattice generating function…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Jysoo Lee , Joel Koplik

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

In this paper we consider first passage percolation on the square lattice \(\mathbb{Z}^d\) with edge passage times that are independent and have uniformly bounded second moment, but not necessarily identically distributed. For integer \(n…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Ghurumuruhan Ganesan

For one-dimensional symmetric L\'{e}vy processes, which hit every point with positive probability, we give sharp bounds for the tail function of the first hitting time of B which is either a single point or an interval. The estimates are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Tomasz Grzywny , Michał Ryznar

We study the asymptotic tail behaviour of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for asymptotically $\alpha$-stable L\'evy processes with $\alpha<1$. Our main result states that if the left tail of the L\'evy measure is regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Frank Aurzada , Tanja Kramm

We consider the exact sampling of the first passage of a stable subordinator across a non-increasing regular barrier. First, the sampling is reduced to one from a bivariate distribution parameterized by the index $\alpha$ of the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Zhiyi Chi

We investigate the large deviation probabilities of first passage times (FPT) of discrete-time supercritical non-lattice branching random walks (BRWs) in $\mathbb{R}^d$ where $d\geq 1$. The FPT refers to the first time the BRW enters a ball…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Jose Blanchet , Wei Cai , Shaswat Mohanty , Zhenyuan Zhang