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We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

To avoid poor empirical performance in Metropolis-Hastings and other accept-reject-based algorithms practitioners often tune them by trial and error. Lower bounds on the convergence rate are developed in both total variation and Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Austin Brown , Galin L. Jones

We study ergodic properties of a family of traffic maps acting in the space of bi-infinite sequences of real numbers. The corresponding dynamics mimics the motion of vehicles in a simple traffic flow, which explains the name. Using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Michael Blank

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

In this short note we provide an elementary proof that a certain type of nonuniform sequential Doeblin minorization condition implies non-uniform sequential "geometric" ergodicity. Using this result several limit theorems for inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Yeor Hafouta , Brenden Williams

Static granular packs have been studied in the last three decades in the frame of a modified equilibrium statistical mechanics that assumes ergodicity as a basic postulate. The canonical example on which this framework is tested consists in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-03-10 Paula A. Gago , Diego Maza , Luis A. Pugnaloni

Brownian yet non-Gaussian phenomenon has recently been observed in many biological and active matter systems. The main idea of explaining this phenomenon is to introduce a random diffusivity for particles moving in inhomogeneous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-19 Xudong Wang , Yao Chen

The concept of weak ergodicity breaking is defined and studied in the context of deterministic dynamics. We show that weak ergodicity breaking describes a weakly chaotic dynamical system: a nonlinear map which generates subdiffusion…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Golan Bel , Eli Barkai

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

We study ergodic properties of nonlinear Markov chains and stochastic McKean-Vlasov equations. For nonlinear Markov chains we obtain sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and uniform ergodicity. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Oleg Butkovsky

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Roberto Fernandez , Francesco Manzo , Matteo Quattropani , Elisabetta Scoppola

We consider a bivariate stationary Markov chain $(X_n,Y_n)_{n\ge0}$ in a Polish state space, where only the process $(Y_n)_{n\ge0}$ is presumed to be observable. The goal of this paper is to investigate the ergodic theory and stability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

The Lyapounov exponent and sharp conditions for geometric ergodicity are determined of a time series model with both a threshold autoregression term and threshold autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) errors. The conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Daren B. H. Cline , Huay-min H. Pu

In this article, we discuss ergodicity properties of a diffusion process given through an It\^{o} stochastic differential equation. We identify conditions on the drift and diffusion coefficients which result in sub-geometric ergodicity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Petra Lazić , Nikola Sandrić

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic Markov chains and relaxed conditions for them, as well as analogous convergence results for some non-homogeneous Markov chains are studied. The setting from the previous works is extended. Examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-27 A. Yu. Veretennikov , M. A. Veretennikova

In this short note, we consider posterior simulation for a linear regression model when the error distribution is given by a scale mixture of multivariate normals. We first show that the sampler of Backlund and Hobert (2020) for the case of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura

Ergodicity of random dynamical systems with a periodic measure is obtained on a Polish space. In the Markovian case, the idea of Poincar\'e sections is introduced. It is proved that if the periodic measure is PS-ergodic, then it is ergodic.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Chunrong Feng , Huaizhong Zhao

Algorithms and dynamics over networks often involve randomization, and randomization may result in oscillating dynamics which fail to converge in a deterministic sense. In this paper, we observe this undesired feature in three applications,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-12-17 Chiara Ravazzi , Paolo Frasca , Roberto Tempo , Hideaki Ishii

We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Aldéric Joulin , Yann Ollivier

This paper deals with the ergodicity and the existence of a strong law of large numbers for adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo. We show that a diminishing adaptation assumption together with a drift condition for positive recurrence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Yves Atchadé , Gersende Fort
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