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For sparse high-dimensional regression problems, Cox and Battey [1, 9] emphasised the need for confidence sets of models: an enumeration of those small sets of variables that fit the data equivalently well in a suitable statistical sense.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 R. M. Lewis , H. S. Battey

Time-to-event data is widespread across the life sciences and engineering, but it is typically encountered together with censoring, which complicates the application of standard machine learning methods. Deep Cox models have emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anchit Jain , Kevin Zhang , Stephen Bates

In statistics, time-to-event analysis methods traditionally focus on the estimation of hazards. In recent years, machine learning methods have been proposed to directly predict the event times. We propose a method based on vine copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe

There are many uses for linear fitting; the context here is interpolation and denoising of data, as when you have calibration data and you want to fit a smooth, flexible function to those data. Or you want to fit a flexible function to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-09-22 David W. Hogg , Soledad Villar

The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We study counterfactual regression, which aims to map input features to outcomes under hypothetical scenarios that differ from those observed in the data. This is particularly useful for decision-making when adapting to sudden shifts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Kwangho Kim

Measurement error in the covariate of main interest (e.g. the exposure variable, or the risk factor) is common in epidemiologic and health studies. It can effect the relative risk estimator or other types of coefficients derived from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Sarit Agami

Thomas' partial likelihood estimator of regression parameters is widely used in the analysis of nested case-control data with Cox's model. This paper proposes a new estimator of the regression parameters, which is consistent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kani Chen

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the Regularized Maximum Partial Likelihood Estimator (RMPLE) in the proportional limit, considering an arbitrary convex regularizer and assuming that the covariates $\mathbf{X}_i\in\mathbb{R}^{p}$ follow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Emanuele Massa , Anthony Coolen

Shape-restricted inferences have exhibited empirical success in various applications with survival data. However, certain works fall short in providing a rigorous theoretical justification and an easy-to-use variance estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Junjun Lang , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

Modern computational models in supervised machine learning are often highly parameterized universal approximators. As such, the value of the parameters is unimportant, and only the out of sample performance is considered. On the other hand…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-04 Matthew Dixon , Tyler Ward

We consider the Cox regression model and prove some properties of the maximum partial likelihood estimator $\hat\beta_n$ and of the the Breslow estimator $\Lambda_n$. The asymptotic properties of these estimators have been widely studied in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-20 Cécile Durot , Eni Musta

The hazard ratio, typically estimated using Cox's famous proportional hazards model, is the most common effect measure used to describe the association or effect of a covariate on a time-to-event outcome. In recent years the hazard ratio…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Jonathan W. Bartlett , Dominic Magirr , Tim P. Morris

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

This paper considers the problem of semi-parametric proportional hazards model fitting for interval, left and right censored survival times. We adopt a more versatile penalized likelihood method to estimate the baseline hazard and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Jun Ma , Dominique-Laurent Couturier , Stephane Heritier , Ian Marschner

We address regularised versions of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm for Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) in the context of panel data (measured on several individuals at different time-points). A random response y is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-21 Jocelyn Chauvet , Catherine Trottier , Xavier Bry

Inference on the parametric part of a semiparametric model is no trivial task. If one approximates the infinite dimensional part of the semiparametric model by a parametric function, one obtains a parametric model that is in some sense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Adam Lee , Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland

Accurate probabilistic predictions are essential for optimal decision making. While neural network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the less-explored domain of regression. We conduct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Victor Dheur , Souhaib Ben Taieb

This paper provides guidance for researchers with some mathematical background on the conduct of time-to-event analysis in observational studies based on intensity (hazard) models. Discussions of basic concepts like time axis, event…

Interval-censored data arise frequently in scientific studies, where the event of interest is known only to occur within a specific time interval. In such studies, functional covariates taking the form of continuous curves or spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang