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Related papers: Meteor shower forecasting in near-Earth space

200 papers

Although the risk posed to spacecraft due to meteoroid impacts is dominated by sporadic meteoroids, meteor showers can raise this risk for short periods of time. NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office issues meteor shower forecasts that…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-09 Althea V. Moorhead , William J. Cooke , Peter G. Brown , Margaret D. Campbell-Brown

We present an algorithm developed to measure the fluxes of major meteor showers as observed in NASA's All-Sky Fireball Network cameras. Measurements of fluxes from the All-Sky cameras not only improve the Meteoroid Environment Office's…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Steven Ehlert , Rhiannon Blaauw Erskine

Predictions of the 2018 Draconid activity at the Earth and the Sun-Earth L1 and L2 Lagrange points are presented. Numerical simulations of the meteoroids' ejection and evolution from comet 21P/Giacobini-Zinner are performed with a careful…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-17 Auriane Egal , Paul Wiegert , Peter G. Brown , Danielle E. Moser , Althea V. Moorhead , William J. Cooke

Meteor showers and their outbursts are the dominant source of meteoroid impact risk to spacecraft on short time scales. Meteor shower prediction models depend on historical observations to produce accurate forecasts. However, the current…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-06 Denis Vida , Rhiannon C. Blaauw Erskine , Peter G. Brown , Jonathon Kambulow , Margaret Campbell-Brown , Michael J. Mazur

Context. Several authors predicted an outburst of the Draconid meteor shower in 2018, but with an uncertain level of activity. Aims. Optical meteor observations were used to derive the population and mass indices, flux, and radiant…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-01 Denis Vida , Margaret Campbell-Brown , Peter G. Brown , Auriane Egal , Michael J. Mazur

Meteoroids pose one of the largest risks to spacecraft outside of low Earth orbit. In order to correctly predict the rate at which meteoroids impact and damage spacecraft, environment models must describe the mass, directionality, velocity,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-30 Althea V. Moorhead , Aaron Kingery , Steven Ehlert

We describe a new version (numbered 3.1) of NASA's Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM) in which we extend the model to handle locations that lie more than a few degrees in latitude off the ecliptic plane. We provide our algorithms for…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-11 Althea V. Moorhead , Petr Pokorný , Marcus A. Holden , William Kosmann

An unexpected intense outburst of the Draconid meteor shower was detected by the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar (CMOR) on October 8, 2012. The peak flux occurred at ~16:40 UT on October 8 with a maximum of 2.4 +/- 0.3 hr-1 km-2 (appropriate to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Quanzhi Ye , Paul A. Wiegert , Peter G. Brown , Margaret D. Campbell-Brown , Robert J. Weryk

Meteor showers occur when streams of meteoroids originating from a common source intersect the Earth. There will be small dissimilarities between the direction of motion of different meteoroids within a stream, and these small differences…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-01 Althea V. Moorhead , Tiffany Clements , Denis Vida

This work presents numerical simulations of meteoroid streams released by comet 21P/Giacobini-Zinner over the period 1850-2030. The initial methodology, based on Vaubaillon et al. (2005), has been updated and modified to account for the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 A. Egal , P. Wiegert , P. G. Brown , D. E. Moser , M. Campbell-Brown , A. Moorhead , S. Ehlert , N. Moticska

The rate at which meteors pass through Earth's atmosphere has been measured or estimated many times over; existing flux measurements span at least 12 astronomical magnitudes, or roughly five decades in mass. Unfortunately, the common…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-14 Althea V. Moorhead , Denis Vida , Peter G. Brown , Margaret D. Campbell-Brown

The forecasting of meteor showers is currently very good at predicting the timing of meteor outbursts, but still needs further work regarding the level of a given shower. Moreover, uncertainties are rarely provided, leaving the end user…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Jeremie Vaubaillon

Meteoroids of a low-inclination stream hit the Earth arriving from a direction near the ecliptic. The radiant area of stream like this is often divided into two parts: one is situated northward and the other southward of the ecliptic. In…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-05 L. Neslušan , T. J. Jopek , R. Rudawska , M. Hajduková , G. Kokhirova

A new meteor shower $\lambda$-Sculptorids produced by the comet 46P/Wirtanen was forecast for December 12, 2023. The predicted activity was highly uncertain, but generally considered to be low. Observations in Australia, New Zealand, and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-13 D. Vida , J. M. Scott , A. Egal , J. Vaubaillon , Q. -Z. Ye , D. Rollinson , M. Sato , D. E. Moser

A meteor shower is a luminous phenomenon that takes place by the entry into the Earths atmosphere of a cascade of particles coming from a stream intersected by our planet in its orbit. Here we investigate the possibility of a description of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-29 Oscar Sotolongo-Costa , R. Gamez , F. Luzon , A. Posadas , Pablo Weigandt Beckmann

This paper presents a mathematical model to simulate the trajectory of a meteor as seen by a single observer located anywhere on Earth. Our strategy is to define a new coordinate system, called Radiant Coordinate System, which is centered…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-27 Marcos Cardinot , Anderson Namen

NASA's Meteoroid Engineering Model (MEM) is designed to provide aerospace engineers with an accurate description of potentially hazardous meteoroids. It accepts a spacecraft trajectory as input and its output files describe the flux, speed,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-15 Althea V. Moorhead , Katie Milbrandt , Aaron Kingery

Meteor showers on the Earth occur at well known times, and are associated with the decay of comets or other minor bodies whose orbital paths pass close to the Earth's trajectory. On the surface, determining the closest proximity of two…

Space Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Shane L. Larson

The Large High Altitude Air Shower Observatory (LHAASO) has three sub-arrays, KM2A, WCDA and WFCTA. The flux variations of cosmic ray air showers were studied by analyzing the KM2A data during the thunderstorm on 10 June 2021. The number of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-12-07 LHAASO Collaboration , F. Aharonian , Q. An , Axikegu , L. X. Bai , Y. X. Bai , Y. W. Bao , D. Bastieri , X. J. Bi , Y. J. Bi , J. T. Cai , Zhe Cao , Zhen Cao , J. Chang , J. F. Chang , E. S. Chen , Liang Chen , Liang Chen , Long Chen , M. J. Chen , M. L. Chen , S. H. Chen , S. Z. Chen , T. L. Chen , X. J. Chen , Y. Chen , H. L. Cheng , N. Cheng , Y. D. Cheng , S. W. Cui , X. H. Cui , Y. D. Cui , B. Z. Dai , H. L. Dai , Z. G. Dai , Danzengluobu , D. della Volpe , K. K. Duan , J. H. Fan , Y. Z. Fan , Z. X. Fan , J. Fang , K. Fang , C. F. Feng , L. Feng , S. H. Feng , X. T. Feng , Y. L. Feng , B. Gao , C. D. Gao , L. Q. Gao , Q. Gao , W. Gao , W. K. Gao , M. M. Ge , L. S. Geng , G. H. Gong , Q. B. Gou , M. H. Gu , F. L. Gu , J. G. Guo , X. L. Guo , Y. Q. Guo , Y. Y. Guo , Y. A. Han , H. H. He , H. N. He , S. L. He , X. B. He , Y. He , M. Heller , Y. K. Hor , C. Hou , X. Hou , H. B. Hu , Q. Hu , S. Hu , S. C. Hu , X. J. Hu , D. H. Huang , W. H. Huang , X. T. Huang , X. Y. Huang , Y. Huang , Z. C. Huang , X. L. Ji , H. Y. Jia , K. Jia , K. Jiang , Z. J. Jiang , M. Jin , M. M. Kang , T. Ke , D. Kuleshov , B. B. Li , Cheng Li , Cong Li , F. Li , H. B. Li , H. C. Li , H. Y. Li , J. Li , Jian Li , Jie Li , K. Li , W. L. Li , X. R. Li , Xin Li , Xin Li , Y. Z. Li , Zhe Li , Zhuo Li , E. W. Liang , Y. F. Liang , S. J. Lin , B. Liu , C. Liu , D. Liu , H. Liu , H. D. Liu , J. Liu , J. L. Liu , J. S. Liu , J. Y. Liu , M. Y. Liu , R. Y. Liu , S. M. Liu , W. Liu , Y. Liu , Y. N. Liu , W. J. Long , R. Lu , Q. Luo , H. K. Lv , B. Q. Ma , L. L. Ma , X. H. Ma , J. R. Mao , A. Masood , Z. Min , W. Mitthumsiri , Y. C. Nan , Z. W. Ou , B. Y. Pang , P. Pattarakijwanich , Z. Y. Pei , M. Y. Qi , Y. Q. Qi , B. Q. Qiao , J. J. Qin , D. Ruffolo , A. Sáiz , C. Y. Shao , L. Shao , O. Shchegolev , X. D. Sheng , J. Y. Shi , H. C. Song , Yu. V. Stenkin , V. Stepanov , Y. Su , Q. N. Sun , X. N. Sun , Z. B. Sun , P. H. T. Tam , Z. B. Tang , W. W. Tian , B. D. Wang , C. Wang , H. Wang , H. G. Wang , J. C. Wang , J. S. Wang , L. P. Wang , L. Y. Wang , R. Wang , R. N. Wang , W. Wang , X. G. Wang , X. Y. Wang , Y. Wang , Y. D. Wang , Y. J. Wang , Y. P. Wang , Z. H. Wang. Z. X. Wang , Zhen Wang , Zheng Wang , D. M. Wei , J. J. Wei , Y. J. Wei , T. Wen , C. Y. Wu , H. R. Wu , S. Wu , X. F. Wu , Y. S. W , S. Q. Xi , J. Xia , J. J. Xia , G. M. Xiang , D. X. Xiao , G. Xiao , G. G. Xin , Y. L. Xin , Y. Xing , Z. Xiong , D. L. Xu , R. X. Xu , L. Xue , D. H. Yan , J. Z. Yan , C. W. Yang , F. F. Yang , H. W. Yang , J. Y. Yang , L. L. Yang , M. J. Yang , R. Z. Yang , S. B. Yang , Y. H. Yao , Z. G. Yao , Y. M. Ye , L. Q. Yin , N. Yin , X. H. You , Z. Y. You , Y. H. Yu , Q. Yuan , H. Yue , H. D. Zeng , T. X. Zeng , W. Zeng , Z. K. Zeng , M. Zha , X. X. Zhai , B. B. Zhang , F. Zhang , H. M. Zhang , H. Y. Zhang , J. L. Zhang , L. X. Zhang , Li Zhang , Lu Zhang , P. F. Zhang , P. P. Zhang , R. Zhang , S. B. Zhang , S. R. Zhang , S. S. Zhang , X. Zhang , X. P. Zhang , Y. F. Zhang , Y. L. Zhang , Yi Zhang , Yong Zhang , B. Zhao , J. Zhao , L. Zhao , L. Z. Zhao , S. P. Zhao , F. Zheng , Y. Zheng , B. Zhou , H. Zhou , J. N. Zhou , P. Zhou , R. Zhou , X. X. Zhou , C. G. Zhu , F. R. Zhu , H. Zhu , K. J. Zhu , X. Zuo

Cosmic rays interact with nuclei in the Earth's atmosphere to produce extensive air showers, which give rise to the atmospheric muon flux. Temperature fluctuations in the atmosphere influence the rate of muons measured in deep underground…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-23 Amanda Alves , Lilly Pyras , Dennis Soldin , Stef Verpoest
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