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We apply a recently proposed method for the analysis of time series from systems with delayed feedback to experimental data generated by a CO_2 laser. The method is able to estimate the delay time with an error of the order of the sampling…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. J. Bünner , M. Ciofini , A. Giaquinta , R. Hegger , H. Kantz , R. Meucci , A. Politi

We present a nonparametric way to retrieve a system of differential equations in embedding space from a single time series. These equations can be treated with dynamical systems theory and allow for long term predictions. We demonstrate the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Markus Abel , Karsten Ahnert , Juergen Kurths , Simon Mandelj

This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

Fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) has become a great concern worldwide due to its adverse health effects. PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations typically exhibit complex spatio-temporal variations. Both the mean and the spatio-temporal dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

Accurate spatiotemporal pattern analysis is critical in fields such as urban traffic, meteorology, and public health monitoring. However, existing methods face performance bottlenecks, typically yielding only incremental gains and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Jing Chen , Shixiang Pan , Yujie Fan , Haocheng Ye , Haitao Xu , Wenqiang Xu

In this paper, we explore the predictive capabilities of echo state networks (ESNs) for the generalized Kuramoto-Sivashinsky (gKS) equation, an archetypal nonlinear PDE that exhibits spatiotemporal chaos. Our research focuses on predicting…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Mohammad Shah Alam , William Ott , Ilya Timofeyev

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

This work proposes a windowed least-squares (WLS) approach for model-reduction of dynamical systems. The proposed approach sequentially minimizes the time-continuous full-order-model residual within a low-dimensional space-time trial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-28 Eric J. Parish , Kevin T. Carlberg

In this contribution, a novel spatio-temporal prediction algorithm for video coding is introduced. This algorithm exploits temporal as well as spatial redundancies for effectively predicting the signal to be encoded. To achieve this, the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Jürgen Seiler , André Kaup

This paper concerns the data-driven sensor deployment problem in large spatiotemporal fields. Traditionally, sensor deployment strategies have been heavily dependent on model-based planning approaches. However, model-based approaches do not…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-04 Jiahong Chen

Location prediction forecasts a user's location based on historical user mobility traces. To tackle the intrinsic sparsity issue of real-world user mobility traces, spatiotemporal contexts have been shown as significantly useful. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Bangchao Deng , Bingqing Qu , Pengyang Wang , Dingqi Yang , Benjamin Fankhauser , Philippe Cudre-Mauroux

We present a class of algorithms for state estimation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach is based on a variational Lagrangian formulation that casts Bayesian inference as a sequence of entropic trust-region updates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Hany Abdulsamad , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Simo Särkkä

Regionalization aims to partition a spatial domain into contiguous regions that share similar characteristics, enabling more effective spatial analysis, policy making, and resource management. Existing approaches for spatial regionalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Jiayu Weng , Alec Kirkley

Motivated by specific data and accuracy requirements for building numerical databases of turbulent flows, data compression using spatio-temporal sub-sampling and local re-simulation is proposed. Numerical re-simulation experiments for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-07-01 Zhao Wu , Tamer A. Zaki , Charles Meneveau

The present work extends known finite-dimensional constrained optimal control realizations to the realm of well-posed regular linear infinite-dimensional systems modelled by partial differential equations. The structure-preserving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Stevan Dubljevic , Jukka-Pekka Humaloja

Forecasting the behavior of high-dimensional dynamical systems using machine learning requires efficient methods to learn the underlying physical model. We demonstrate spatiotemporal chaos prediction using a machine learning architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

Sparse regression has recently emerged as an attractive approach for discovering models of spatiotemporally complex dynamics directly from data. In many instances, such models are in the form of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Patrick A. K. Reinbold , Daniel R. Gurevich , Roman O. Grigoriev

Numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations over long time intervals poses significant computational challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel recursive polynomial chaos evolution method that achieves model reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Guillaume Bal , Shengbo Ma , Su Zhang , Zhiwen Zhang