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Forecasting the movements of stock prices is one the most challenging problems in financial markets analysis. In this paper, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms for the prediction of future price movements using limit order book data.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Paraskevi Nousi , Avraam Tsantekidis , Nikolaos Passalis , Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Anastasios Tefas , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

We develop a large-scale deep learning model to predict price movements from limit order book (LOB) data of cash equities. The architecture utilises convolutional filters to capture the spatial structure of the limit order books as well as…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-24 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Stock price prediction is a challenging task, but machine learning methods have recently been used successfully for this purpose. In this paper, we extract over 270 hand-crafted features (factors) inspired by technical and quantitative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Adamantios Ntakaris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

In high-frequency trading (HFT), leveraging limit order books (LOB) to model stock price movements is crucial for achieving profitable outcomes. However, this task is challenging due to the high-dimensional and volatile nature of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Jiahao Yang , Ran Fang , Ming Zhang , Jun Zhou

Market by order (MBO) data - a detailed feed of individual trade instructions for a given stock on an exchange - is arguably one of the most granular sources of microstructure information. While limit order books (LOBs) are implicitly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Zihao Zhang , Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Matteo Prata , Giuseppe Masi , Leonardo Berti , Viviana Arrigoni , Andrea Coletta , Irene Cannistraci , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Paola Velardi , Novella Bartolini

Previous attempts to predict stock price from limit order book (LOB) data are mostly based on deep convolutional neural networks. Although convolutions offer efficiency by restricting their operations to local interactions, it is at the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-06 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

The recent surge in Deep Learning (DL) research of the past decade has successfully provided solutions to many difficult problems. The field of quantitative analysis has been slowly adapting the new methods to its problems, but due to…

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

We exploit cutting-edge deep learning methodologies to explore the predictability of high-frequency Limit Order Book mid-price changes for a heterogeneous set of stocks traded on the NASDAQ exchange. In so doing, we release `LOBFrame', an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Antonio Briola , Silvia Bartolucci , Tomaso Aste

Managing high-frequency data in a limit order book (LOB) is a complex task that often exceeds the capabilities of conventional time-series forecasting models. Accurately predicting the entire multi-level LOB, beyond just the mid-price, is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-05 Jiwon Jung , Kiseop Lee

Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

With the proliferation of algorithmic high-frequency trading in financial markets, the Limit Order Book has generated increased research interest. Research is still at an early stage and there is much we do not understand about the dynamics…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-05 Faisal I Qureshi

We introduce a novel large-scale deep learning model for Limit Order Book mid-price changes forecasting, and we name it `HLOB'. This architecture (i) exploits the information encoded by an Information Filtering Network, namely the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Antonio Briola , Silvia Bartolucci , Tomaso Aste

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

This study proposes a behaviorally-informed multi-factor stock selection framework that integrates short-cycle technical alpha signals with deep learning. We design a dual-task multilayer perceptron (MLP) that jointly predicts five-day…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-21 Yuqi Luan

This work proposes DeepFolio, a new model for deep portfolio management based on data from limit order books (LOB). DeepFolio solves problems found in the state-of-the-art for LOB data to predict price movements. Our evaluation consists of…

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

Managing the prediction of metrics in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task. An efficient way is by monitoring the dynamics of a limit order book to identify the information edge. This paper describes the first publicly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Adamantios Ntakaris , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Price Trend Prediction (PTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data is a fundamental challenge in financial markets. Despite advances in deep learning, existing models fail to generalize across different market conditions and assets.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-09 Leonardo Berti , Gjergji Kasneci
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