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The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

In a recent methodological paper, we showed how to learn chaotic dynamics along with the state trajectory from sequentially acquired observations, using local ensemble Kalman filters. Here, we more systematically investigate the possibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Quentin Malartic , Alban Farchi , Marc Bocquet

Analyzing and controlling system entropy is a powerful tool for regulating predictability of control systems. Applications benefiting from such approaches range from reinforcement learning and data security to human-robot collaboration. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-06 Menno van Zutphen , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Duarte J. Antunes

The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), as a fundamental data assimilation approach, has been widely used in many fields of the sciences and engineering. When the state variable is of high dimensional accompanied with high resolution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-18 Shouxia Wang , Hao-Xuan Sun , Song Xi Chen

The problem of system identification for the Kalman filter, relying on the expectation-maximization (EM) procedure to learn the underlying parameters of a dynamical system, has largely been studied assuming that observations are sampled at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Peter Halmos , Jonathan Pillow , David A. Knowles

This paper is concerned with the mathematical analysis of continuous time Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKBFs) and their mean field limit in an infinite dimensional setting. The signal is determined by a nonlinear Stochastic Partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Sebastian Ertel

This work embeds a multilevel Monte Carlo sampling strategy into the Monte Carlo step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) in the setting of finite dimensional signal evolution and noisy discrete-time observations. The signal dynamics is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Håkon Hoel , Kody J. H. Law , Raul Tempone

The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Michael C. Burkhart , David M. Brandman , Carlos E. Vargas-Irwin , Matthew T. Harrison

This paper is concerned with optimality and stability analysis of a family of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithms. EnKF is commonly used as an alternative to the Kalman filter for high-dimensional problems, where storing the covariance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Data assimilation techniques, such as ensemble Kalman filtering, have been shown to be a highly effective and efficient way to combine noisy data with a mathematical model to track and forecast dynamical systems. However, when dealing with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

This paper is concerned with the problem of distributed Kalman filtering in a network of interconnected subsystems with distributed control protocols. We consider networks, which can be either homogeneous or heterogeneous, of linear…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Damian Marelli , Mohsen Zamani , Minyue Fu

The sample covariance matrix of a random vector is a good estimate of the true covariance matrix if the sample size is much larger than the length of the vector. In high-dimensional problems, this condition is never met. As a result, in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Arseniy Sotskiy

We analyze the convergence aspects of the invariant extended Kalman filter (IEKF), when the latter is used as a deterministic non-linear observer on Lie groups, for continuous-time systems with discrete observations. One of the main…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

This paper addresses the synthesis of an optimal fixed-gain distributed observer for discrete-time linear systems over wireless sensor networks. The proposed approach targets the steady-state estimation regime and computes fixed observer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Francisco Rego

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

This paper introduces new model parameterizations for learning discrete-time dynamical systems from data via the Koopman operator and studies their properties. Whereas most existing works on Koopman learning do not take into account the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-09 Fletcher Fan , Bowen Yi , David Rye , Guodong Shi , Ian R. Manchester

An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based mixed model (EnKF-MM) is proposed for the subgrid-scale (SGS) closure in the large-eddy simulation (LES) of turbulence. The model coefficients are determined through the EnKF-based data assimilation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-16 Yunpeng Wang , Zelong Yuan , Jianchun Wang