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Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental determinant of global climate dynamics and economic activity. Reliable projections of future SST patterns depend critically on a rigorous characterization of the underlying spatial random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Leonardo Marchesin , Alessandra Menafoglio , Piercesare Secchi

In applications of climate information, coarse-resolution climate projections commonly need to be downscaled to a finer grid. One challenge of this requirement is the modeling of sub-grid variability and the spatial and temporal dependence…

Physics parameterizations are often needed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) of precipitation forecast. This is mainly because the resolutions of most computational atmospheric models are not fine enough to explicitly resolve sub-grid…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-19 Khanh Hung Mai , Duc Le , Kazuo Saito , Tomizawa Futo , Yohei Sawada

Synthesising verifiably correct controllers for dynamical systems is crucial for safety-critical problems. To achieve this, it is important to account for uncertainty in a robust manner, while at the same time it is often of interest to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-16 Luke Rickard , Alessandro Abate , Kostas Margellos

The problem of synthesizing stochastic explicit model predictive control policies is known to be quickly intractable even for systems of modest complexity when using classical control-theoretic methods. To address this challenge, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Aaron Tuor , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Draguna Vrabie

Optimization problems involving sequential decisions in a stochastic environment were studied in Stochastic Programming (SP), Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Processes (MDP). In this paper we mainly concentrate on SP…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Guanghui Lan , Alexander Shapiro

Statistical matching is an effective method for estimating causal effects in which treated units are paired with control units with ``similar'' values of confounding covariates prior to performing estimation. In this way, matching helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Sanjeewani Weerasingha , Michael J. Higgins

We present a Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework for linear systems subject to Gaussian disturbances. In order to avoid feasibility issues, we employ a recent initialization strategy, optimizing over an interpolation of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-17 Henning Schlüter , Frank Allgöwer

Complex networks theory has commonly been used for modelling and understanding the interactions taking place between the elements composing complex systems. More recently, the use of generative models has gained momentum, as they allow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-19 Massimiliano Zanin , Marco Correia , Pedro A. C. Sousa , Jorge Cruz

We present convergence results in expectation for stochastic subspace correction schemes and their accelerated versions to solve symmetric positive-definite variational problems, and discuss their potential for achieving fault tolerance in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Michael Griebel , Peter Oswald

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

Decision making under uncertainty often requires choosing packages, or bags of tuples, that collectively optimize expected outcomes while limiting risks. Processing Stochastic Package Queries (SPQs) involves solving very large optimization…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Riddho R. Haque , Anh L. Mai , Matteo Brucato , Azza Abouzied , Peter J. Haas , Alexandra Meliou

In this paper, we address the stochastic MPC (SMPC) problem for linear systems, subject to chance state constraints and hard input constraints, under unknown noise distribution. First, we reformulate the chance state constraints as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-05 Charis Stamouli , Anastasios Tsiamis , Manfred Morari , George J. Pappas

For discrete-time linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty described by random variables, we develop a sampling-based Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm. Unlike earlier results employing a scenario approximation, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Frank Allgöwer

Models of complex dynamical systems like the Earth's climate often involve large numbers of uncertain parameters. Comprehensive exploration of the parameter space is typically prohibitive due to excessive computational costs. Systematic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Daniel Pals , Sebastian Bathiany , Richard Wood , Joel Kuettel , Niklas Boers

The parameterization method (PM) provides a broad theoretical and numerical foundation for computing invariant manifolds of dynamical systems. PM implements a change of variables in order to represent trajectories of a system of ordinary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Alberto Pérez-Cervera , Benjamin Lindner , Peter J. Thomas

In this paper, we introduce a deterministic formulation for the geometric programming problem, wherein the coefficients are represented as independent linear-normal uncertain random variables. To address the challenges posed by this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Tapas Mondal , Akshay Kumar Ojha , Sabyasachi Pani

We present a method for enhanced sampling of molecular dynamics simulations using stochastic resetting. Various phenomena, ranging from crystal nucleation to protein folding, occur on timescales that are unreachable in standard simulations.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Ofir Blumer , Shlomi Reuveni , Barak Hirshberg

Software systems are complex, and behavioral comprehension with the increasing amount of AI components challenges traditional testing and maintenance strategies.The lack of tools and methodologies for behavioral software comprehension…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Hannes Thaller , Lukas Linsbauer , Rudolf Ramler , Alexander Egyed