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We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by "controlled" Markov noise. In particular, the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Prasenjit Karmakar

Whereas classical invariance principles for ergodic Markov chains address the situation in which the time horizon of observations is much larger than the mixing time, the quality of approximation is questionable when this is not the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Gabriele Bellerino , Angelika Rohde

In this paper, we study McKean-Vlasov SDE living in $\mathbb{R}^d$ in the reversible case without assuming any type of convexity assumptions for confinement or interaction potentials. Kramers' type law for the exit-time from a domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Ashot Aleksian , Julian Tugaut

We present two fully probabilistic Euler schemes, one explicit and one implicit, for the simulation of McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations (MV-SDEs) with drifts of super-linear growth and random initial condition. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 G. dos Reis , S. Engelhardt , G. Smith

Recently-proposed particle MCMC methods provide a flexible way of performing Bayesian inference for parameters governing stochastic kinetic models defined as Markov (jump) processes (MJPs). Each iteration of the scheme requires an estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-19 Andrew Golightly , Daniel A. Henderson , Chris Sherlock

Our purpose is to study a particular class of optimal stopping problems for Markov processes. We justify the value function convexity and we deduce that there exists a boundary function such that the smallest optimal stopping time is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Diana Dorobantu

The marked Hawkes risk process is a compound point process for which the occurrence and amplitude of past events impact the future. Thanks to its autoregressive properties, it found applications in various fields such as neuosciences,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-11 Laure Coutin , Mahmoud Khabou

In this work, we consider an inhomogeneous (discrete time) Markov chain and are interested in its long time behavior. We provide sufficient conditions to ensure that some of its asymptotic properties can be related to the ones of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Michel Benaïm , Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

Two time scale stochastic approximation algorithms emulate singularly perturbed deterministic differential equations in a certain limiting sense, i.e., the interpolated iterates on each time scale approach certain differential equations in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Fathima Zarin Faizal , Vivek Borkar

We observe the continuous-time Markov Branching Process without high-order moments and allowing Immigration. Limit properties of transition functions and their convergence to invariant measures are investigated. Main mathematical tool is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Azam A. Imomov , Abror Kh. Meyliev

The continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are typically defned in the way that their trajectories are discontinuous step fuctions. This may be a unwellcome feature from the point of view of application of theese processes to model certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Piotr Zebrowski , Marcin Magdziarz

We establish a functional weak law of large numbers for observable macroscopic state variables of interacting particle systems (e.g., voter and contact processes) over fast time-varying sparse random networks of interactions. We show that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Augusto Almeida Santos , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura , João Xavier

In this paper, we consider the gradual-impulse control problem of continuous-time Markov decision processes, where the system performance is measured by the expectation of the exponential utility of the total cost. We prove, under very…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Xin Guo , Aiko Kurushima , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

Time bounded reachability is a fundamental problem in model checking continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) and Markov decision processes (CTMDPs) for specifications in continuous stochastic logics. It can be computed by numerically solving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Mahmoud Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar

We obtain non-Gaussian limit laws for one-dimensional random walk in a random environment assuming that the environment is a function of a stationary Markov process. This is an extension of the work of Kesten, M. Kozlov and Spitzer for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eddy Mayer-Wolf , Alexander Roitershtein , Ofer Zeitouni

We introduce a unified framework for solving first passage times of time-homogeneous diffusion processes. According to the killed version potential theory and the perturbation theory, we are able to deduce closed-form solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Angelos Dassios , Luting Li

An obvious way to simulate a L\'evy process $X$ is to sample its increments over time $1/n$, thus constructing an approximating random walk $X^{(n)}$. This paper considers the error of such approximation after the two-sided reflection map…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Søren Asmussen , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

We investigate some asymptotic properties of general Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed by moving boundaries. We first give general criteria involving an exponential convergence towards the Q-process, that is the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

We consider diffusion-like paths that are explored by a particle moving via a conservative force while being in thermal equilibrium with its surroundings. To probe rare transitions, we use the Onsager-Machlup (OM) functional as a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-01-01 Patrick Malsom , Frank Pinski
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