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We identify a new natural coalescent structure, which we call the seed-bank coalescent, that describes the gene genealogy of populations under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect, where "dormant forms" of individuals (such as seeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

This paper focuses on a class of linear Hawkes processes with general immigrants. These are counting processes with shot noise intensity, including self-excited and externally excited patterns. For such processes, we introduce the concept…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Alexandre Boumezoued

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

In this article, we focus on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional offspring distributions. At a fixed generation, we consider a sample of the individuals alive, drawn in two different ways: either through Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

Branching processes are models used to describe populations that reproduce and die over time. In the classical setting, an individual's reproductive capacity remains constant throughout its lifetime. However, in real-world situations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Daniela Bertacchi , Elena Montanaro , Fabio Zucca

We consider a model of random tree growth, where at each time unit a new vertex is added and attached to an already existing vertex chosen at random. The probability with which a vertex with degree $k$ is chosen is proportional to $w(k)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Rudas , Balint Toth , Benedek Valko

A version of ``preferential attachment'' random graphs, corresponding to linear ``weights'' with random ``edge additions,'' which generalizes some previously considered models, is studied. This graph model is embedded in a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 K. B. Athreya , A. P. Ghosh , S. Sethuraman

We consider branching processes describing structured, interacting populations in continuous time. Dynamics of each individuals characteristics and branching properties can be influenced by the entire population. We propose a Girsanov-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Charles Medous

Consider a continuous-state branching population constructed as a flow of nested subordinators. Inverting the subordinators and reversing time give rise to a flow of coalescing Markov processes (with negative jumps) which correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma , Bastien Mallein

The goal of this article is to contribute towards the conceptual and quantitative understanding of the evolutionary benefits for (microbial) populations to maintain a seed bank (consisting of dormant individuals) when facing fluctuating…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Jochen Blath , Felix Hermann , Martin Slowik

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton--Watson processes conditioned on the total progeny. We consider a fixed, aperiodic and critical offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton--Watson processes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne

We study the evolution of a particle system whose genealogy is given by a supercritical continuous time Galton--Watson tree. The particles move independently according to a Markov process and when a branching event occurs, the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Vincent Bansaye , Jean-François Delmas , Laurence Marsalle , Viet Chi Tran

Guided by the relationship between the breadth-first walk of a rooted tree and its sequence of generation sizes, we are able to include immigration in the Lamperti representation of continuous-state branching processes. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 M. Emilia Caballero , José Luis Pérez Garmendia , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

In this work, several convergence results are established for nearly critical self-excited systems in which event arrivals are described by multivariate marked Hawkes point processes. Under some mild high-frequency assumptions, the rescaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Wei Xu

We derive an exact expression for the probability density function of the cascade size (total progeny) in a continuous state branching process when the generations are Gamma distributed. The distribution has application in the modelling of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-16 James Burridge

Consider a continuous-time binary branching process conditioned to have population size n at some time t, and with a chance p for recording each extinct individual in the process. Within the family tree of this process, we consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Lea Popovic

We consider the height of random k-trees and k-Apollonian networks. These random graphs are not really trees, but instead have a tree-like structure. The height will be the maximum distance of a vertex from the root. We show that w.h.p. the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Colin Cooper , Alan Frieze , Ryuhei Uehara

We are interested in the evolving genealogy of a birth and death process with trait structure and ecological interactions. Traits are hereditarily transmitted from a parent to its offspring unless a mutation occurs. The dynamics may depend…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

We consider a branching model in discrete time where each individual has a trait in some general state space. Both the reproduction law and the trait inherited by the offsprings may depend on the trait of the mother and the environment. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Vincent Bansaye