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While the warming trends of the Earth's mean temperature are evident at climatological scales, the local temperature at shorter timescales are highly fluctuating. In this letter we show that the probabilities of such fluctuations are…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-21 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato , Lamberto Rondoni

Correlations between planetary and stellar properties, particularly age, can provide insight on planetary formation and evolution processes. However, the underlying source of such trends can be unclear, and measurement uncertainties and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-30 Emily D. Safsten , Rebekah I. Dawson

Fluctuation theorems have become an important tool in single molecule biophysics to measure free energy differences from non-equilibrium experiments. When significant coarse-graining or noise affect the measurements, the determination of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-09 Reinaldo García-García , Sourabh Lahiri , David Lacoste

One of the most celebrated findings in complex systems in the last decade is that different indexes y (e.g., patents) scale nonlinearly with the population~x of the cities in which they appear, i.e., $y\sim x^\beta, \beta \neq 1$. More…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-20 J. C. Leitao , J. M. Miotto , M. Gerlach , E. G. Altmann

One essential ingredient of evolutionary theory is the concept of fitness as a measure for a species' success in its living conditions. Here, we quantify the effect of environmental fluctuations onto fitness by analytical calculations on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-19 Anna Melbinger , Massimo Vergassola

In exponentially proliferating populations of microbes, the population typically doubles at a rate less than the average doubling time of a single-cell due to variability at the single-cell level. It is known that the distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Ethan Levien , Trevor GrandPre , Ariel Amir

Many applications of causal inference require using treatment effects estimated on a study population to make decisions in a separate target population. We consider the challenging setting where there are covariates that are observed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Khurram Yamin , Vibhhu Sharma , Ed Kennedy , Bryan Wilder

We study the limiting behavior of Gaussian beta ensembles in the regime where $\beta n = const$ as $n \to \infty$. The results are (1) Gaussian fluctuations for linear statistics of the eigenvalues, and (2) Poisson convergence of the bulk…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Trinh Khanh Duy , Fumihiko Nakano

The non-equilibrium fluctuations of power flux in a fluidized granular media have been recently measured in an experiment [Phys. Rev. Lett. 92, 164301, 2004], which was announced to be a verification of the Fluctuation Relation (FR) by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Puglisi , P. Visco , A. Barrat , E. Trizac , F. van Wijland

Population rate or activity equations are the foundation of a common approach to modeling for neural networks. These equations provide mean field dynamics for the firing rate or activity of neurons within a network given some connectivity.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-15 Michael A. Buice , Jack D. Cowan , Carson C. Chow

The past twenty years have seen a resurgence of interest in nonequilibrium thermodynamics, thanks to advances in the theory of stochastic processes and in their thermodynamic interpretation. Fluctuation theorems provide fundamental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-16 Robert Marsland , Jeremy England

It is shown that thermal fluctuations present in a simple non-degenerate relativistic fluid satisfy a wave equation in the Euler regime. The characteristic propagation speeds are calculated and the classical expression for the speed of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-05-19 A. Sandoval-Villalbazo , D. Brun

The importance of ensemble computing is well established. However, executing ensembles at scale introduces interesting performance fluctuations that have not been well investigated. In this paper, we trace our experience uncovering…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Srinivasan Ramesh , Mikhail Titov , Matteo Turilli , Shantenu Jha , Allen Malony

Recently, we proposed a method to estimate parameters of stochastic dynamics based on the linear response statistics. The method rests upon a nonlinear least-squares problem that takes into account the response properties that stem from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-24 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

We consider the evolution of large but finite populations on arbitrary fitness landscapes. We describe the evolutionary process by a Markov, Moran process. We show that to $\mathcal O(1/N)$, the time-averaged fitness is lower for the finite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 Dirk M. Lorenz , Jeong-Man Park , Michael W. Deem

The fundamental insight into Brownian motion by Einstein is that all substances exhibit continual fluctuations due to thermal agitation balancing with the frictional resistance. However, even at thermal equilibrium, biological activity can…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-02-19 Soya Shinkai , Yuichi Togashi

We consider a fixed size population that undergoes an evolutionary adaptation in the weak mutuation rate limit, which we model as a biased Langevin process in the genotype space. We show analytically and numerically that, if the fitness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-04 Jakub Otwinowski , Sorin Tanase-Nicola , Ilya Nemenman

The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

We present a mathematical theory of dynamical fluctuations for the hard sphere gas in the Boltzmann-Grad limit. We prove that: (1) fluctuations of the empirical measure from the solution of the Boltzmann equation, scaled with the square…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Thierry Bodineau , Isabelle Gallagher , Laure Saint-Raymond , Sergio Simonella

We present a theoretical framework to analyze the violation of fluctuation-response relation (FRR) for any observable from a finite Markov system with two well-separated time scales. We find that, generally for both slow and fast…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-04 Shou-Wen Wang , Kyogo Kawaguchi , Shin-ichi Sasa , Lei-Han Tang