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Bayesian phylogenetic inference is often conducted via local or sequential search over topologies and branch lengths using algorithms such as random-walk Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or Combinatorial Sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Antonio Khalil Moretti , Liyi Zhang , Christian A. Naesseth , Hadiah Venner , David Blei , Itsik Pe'er

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), Laplace approximation (LA) and variational inference (VI) methods are popular approaches to Bayesian inference, each with trade-offs between computational cost and accuracy. However, a theoretical…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-16 Martin Chak , Giacomo Zanella

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

The Variational Bayesian method (VB) is used to solve the probability distributions of latent variables with the minimum free energy criterion. This criterion is not easy to understand, and the computation is complex. For these reasons,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Chenguang Lu

One popular way for lifted inference in probabilistic graphical models is to first merge symmetric states into a single cluster (orbit) and then use these for downstream inference, via variations of orbital MCMC [Niepert, 2012]. These…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Gagan Madan , Ankit Anand , Mausam , Parag Singla

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes…

Time series analysis of fMRI data is an important area of medical statistics for neuroimaging data. The neuroimaging community has embraced mean-field variational Bayes (VB) approximations, which are implemented in Statistical Parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-06 Ming Teng , Timothy Johnson , Farouk Nathoo

As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

An optimal experimental set-up maximizes the value of data for statistical inferences and predictions. The efficiency of strategies for finding optimal experimental set-ups is particularly important for experiments that are time-consuming…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joakim Beck , Ben Mansour Dia , Luis F. R. Espath , Raul Tempone

High-dimensional Bayesian variable selection problems are often solved using computationally expensive Markov Chain Montle Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Recently, a Bayesian variable selection technique was developed for continuous data using…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Patrick McDermott , John Snyder , Rebecca Willison

Large pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs) offer a promising approach to leveraging human language for enhancing downstream tasks. However, VLMs such as CLIP face significant limitation: its performance is highly sensitive to prompt…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Ao Li , Zongfang Liu , Xinhua Li , Jinghui Zhang , Pengwei Wang , Hu Wang

Maximum simulated likelihood estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) or probit models requires evaluation of a multidimensional integral. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods such as shuffled and scrambled Halton sequences and modified…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-13 Prateek Bansal , Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo A. Daziano , Shanjun Li

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

Discrete-state, continuous-time Markov models are becoming commonplace in the modelling of biochemical processes. The mathematical formulations that such models lead to are opaque, and, due to their complexity, are often considered…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-31 Christopher Lester

Bayesian multinomial logistic-normal (MLN) models are popular for the analysis of sequence count data (e.g., microbiome or gene expression data) due to their ability to model multivariate count data with complex covariance structure.…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

In cohort studies binary outcomes are very often analyzed by logistic regression. However, it is well-known that when the goal is to estimate a risk ratio, the logistic regression is inappropriate if the outcome is common. In these cases, a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-02 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano

Complex-Valued Neural Networks (CVNNs) have significant advantages in handling tasks that involve complex numbers. However, existing CVNNs are unable to quantify predictive uncertainty. We propose, for the first time, dropout-based Bayesian…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Zehuan Zhang , Mark Chen , He Li , Wayne Luk

Balancing computational efficiency with robust predictive performance is crucial in supervised learning, especially for critical applications. Standard deep learning models, while accurate and scalable, often lack probabilistic features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Conor Heins , Hao Wu , Dimitrije Markovic , Alexander Tschantz , Jeff Beck , Christopher Buckley
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