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We introduce a method to measure uncertainty in large language models. For tasks like question answering, it is essential to know when we can trust the natural language outputs of foundation models. We show that measuring uncertainty in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Lorenz Kuhn , Yarin Gal , Sebastian Farquhar

The relationship between belief networks and relational databases is examined. Based on this analysis, a method to construct belief networks automatically from statistical relational data is proposed. A comparison between our method and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Wilson X. Wen

Disagreement between two classifiers regarding the class membership of an observation in pattern recognition can be indicative of an anomaly and its nuance. As in general classifiers base their decision on class aposteriori probabilities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Josef Kittler , Cemre Zor

Uncertainty relations provide constraints on how well the outcomes of incompatible measurements can be predicted, and, as well as being fundamental to our understanding of quantum theory, they have practical applications such as for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-05-30 Patrick J. Coles , Roger Colbeck , Li Yu , Michael Zwolak

We examine a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures, where a plausibility measure just associates with an event its plausibility, an element is some partially ordered set. This approach is easily seen to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

We critically assess the robustness of uncertainties on parton distribution functions (PDFs) determined using neural networks from global sets of experimental data collected from multiple experiments. We view the determination of PDFs as an…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-03-25 Andrea Barontini , Mark N. Costantini , Giovanni De Crescenzo , Stefano Forte , Maria Ubiali

Linear relations, containing measurement errors in input and output data, are considered. Parameters of these so-called errors-in-variables models can change at some unknown moment. The aim is to test whether such an unknown change has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Michal Pešta

Machine learning models have demonstrated substantial performance enhancements over non-learned alternatives in various fundamental data management operations, including indexing (locating items in an array), cardinality estimation…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Sepanta Zeighami , Cyrus Shahabi

Indirect measurement can be used to read out the outcome of a quantum system without resorting to a straightforward approach, and it is the foundation of the measurement uncertainty relations that explain the incompatibility of conjugate…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-09 Ryo Mihashi , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

Unquantified sources of uncertainty in observational causal analyses can break the integrity of the results. One would never want another analyst to repeat a calculation with the same dataset, using a seemingly identical procedure, only to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-12 Marco Morucci , Md. Noor-E-Alam , Cynthia Rudin

To be informative, an evaluation must measure how well systems generalize to realistic unseen data. We identify limitations of and propose improvements to current evaluations of text-to-SQL systems. First, we compare human-generated and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Catherine Finegan-Dollak , Jonathan K. Kummerfeld , Li Zhang , Karthik Ramanathan , Sesh Sadasivam , Rui Zhang , Dragomir Radev

Unmeasured confounding is a major challenge for identifying causal relationships from non-experimental data. Here, we propose a method that can accommodate unmeasured discrete confounding. Extending recent identifiability results in deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Patrick Burauel , Frederick Eberhardt , Michel Besserve

In this uncertain world, data uncertainty is inherent in many applications and its importance is growing drastically due to the rapid development of modern technologies. Nowadays, researchers have paid more attention to mine patterns in…

A method is discussed that allows combining sets of differential or inclusive measurements. It is assumed that at least one measurement was obtained with simultaneously fitting a set of nuisance parameters, representing sources of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Jan Kieseler

The performance of database systems is usually characterised by their average-case (i.e., throughput) behaviour in standardised or de-facto standard benchmarks like TPC-X or YCSB. While tails of the latency (i.e., response time)…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michael Fruth , Stefanie Scherzinger , Wolfgang Mauerer , Ralf Ramsauer

Interpretation methods to reveal the internal reasoning processes behind machine learning models have attracted increasing attention in recent years. To quantify the extent to which the identified interpretations truly reflect the intrinsic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Chun Sik Chan , Huanqi Kong , Guanqing Liang

We study in this paper provenance information for queries with aggregation. Provenance information was studied in the context of various query languages that do not allow for aggregation, and recent work has suggested to capture provenance…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Yael Amsterdamer , Daniel Deutch , Val Tannen

Increasing amounts of available data have led to a heightened need for representing large-scale probabilistic knowledge bases. One approach is to use a probabilistic database, a model with strong assumptions that allow for efficiently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Tal Friedman , Guy Van den Broeck

Large-scale key-value storage systems sacrifice consistency in the interest of dependability (i.e., partition tolerance and availability), as well as performance (i.e., latency). Such systems provide eventual consistency,which---to this…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2012-11-21 Muntasir Raihan Rahman , Wojciech Golab , Alvin AuYoung , Kimberly Keeton , Jay J. Wylie

Variability inherently exists in databases in various contexts which creates database variants. For example, variants of a database could have different schemas/content (database evolution problem), variants of a database could root from…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Parisa Ataei , Qiaoran Li , Eric Walkingshaw , Arash Termehchy
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