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We study the optimal design of stealthy attacks against partially observed linear control systems. We first propose a novel likelihood-based detection mechanism derived from the innovation process, based on which we quantify stealthiness…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Haosheng Zhou , Ruimeng Hu

This paper studies theory and inference of an observation-driven model for time series of counts. It is assumed that the observations follow a Poisson distribution conditioned on an accompanying intensity process, which is equipped with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-18 Chao Wang , Heng Liu , Jian-Feng Yao , Richard A. Davis , Wai Keung Li

We consider a stock that follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and a riskless asset continuously compounded at a constant rate. We assume that the stock can go bankrupt, i.e., lose all of its value, at some exogenous random time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-05 Yaacov Kopeliovich , Michael Pokojovy , Julia Bernatska

We consider a L\'evy process $Y(t)$ that is not permanently observed, but rather inspected at Poisson($\omega$) moments only, over an exponentially distributed time $T_\beta$ with parameter $\beta$. The focus lies on the analysis of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Onno Boxma , Michel Mandjes

This paper studies a general L\'evy process model of the bail-out optimal dividend problem with an exponential time horizon, and further extends it to the regime-switching model. We first show the optimality of a double barrier strategy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Dante Mata López , Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We consider the bail-out optimal dividend problem under fixed transaction costs for a L\'evy risk model. Furthermore, we consider the version with a constraint expected net present value of injected capital. To characterize the solution to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco , José Luis Pérez

We consider de Finetti's stochastic control problem for a spectrally negative L\'evy process in an Omega model. In such a model, the (controlled) process is allowed to spend time under the critical level but is then subject to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Dante Mata , Jean-François Renaud

We develop a complete analysis of a general entry-exit-scrapping model. In particular, we consider an investment project that operates within a random environment and yields a payoff rate that is a function of a stochastic economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Mihail Zervos , Carlos Oliveira , Kate Duckworth

We propose a unified structural credit risk model incorporating both insolvency and illiquidity risks, in order to investigate how a firm's default probability depends on the liquidity risk associated with its financing structure. We assume…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-01 Gechun Liang , Eva Lütkebohmert , Wei Wei

We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Mike Ludkovski

This paper investigates dividend optimization of an insurance corporation under a more realistic model which takes into consideration refinancing or capital injections. The model follows the compound Poisson framework with credit interest…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Jinxia Zhu

We present an overview of the broad class of financial models in which the prices of assets are L\'evy-Ito processes driven by an $n$-dimensional Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure. The Poisson random measure is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-29 George Bouzianis , Lane P. Hughston , Sebastian Jaimungal , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

We study a singular stochastic control problem faced by the owner of an insurance company that dynamically pays dividends and raises capital in the presence of the restriction that the surplus process must be above a given dividend payout…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Kristoffer Lindensjö , Filip Lindskog

We construct a general stochastic process and prove weak convergence results. It is scaled in space and through the parameters of its distribution. We show that our simplified scaling is equivalent to time scaling used frequently. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Mine Caglar

For an insurance company with reserve modeled by the spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process, we study the optimal impulse dividend maximizing the expected accumulated net dividend payment subtracted by the accumulated cost of injecting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Wenyuan Wang , Yuebao Wang , Xueyuan Wu

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

The paper considers the optimal control problem of inventory of a discrete product in regeneration scheme with a Poisson flow of customer requirements. In the system deferred demand is allowed, the volume of which is limited by a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-31 P. V. Shnurkov , N. A. Vakhtanov

We consider de Finetti's optimal dividends problem with absolutely continuous strategies in a spectrally negative L\'evy model with Parisian ruin as the termination time. The problem considered is essentially a generalization of both the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Félix Locas , Jean-François Renaud

Complex non-linear interactions between banks and assets we model by two time-dependent Erd\H{o}s Renyi network models where each node, representing bank, can invest either to a single asset (model I) or multiple assets (model II). We use…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 B. Podobnik , D. Horvatic , M. Bertella , L. Feng , X. Huang , B. Li

This paper studies the optimal dividend problem with capital injection under the constraint that the cumulative dividend strategy is absolutely continuous. We consider an open problem of the general spectrally negative case and derive the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-12 José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Xiang Yu