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We consider a two-dimensional time-inhomogeneous birth-death process to model the time-evolution of fake news in a population. The two components of the process represent, respectively, (i) the number of individuals (say spreaders) who know…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Paola Paraggio

Recently, a first step was made by the authors towards a systematic investigation of the effect of reaction-step-size noise - uncertainty in the step size of the reaction - on the dynamics of stochastic populations. This was done by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Shay Be'er , Michael Assaf

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

We study evolutionary game dynamics in a well-mixed populations of finite size, N. A well-mixed population means that any two individuals are equally likely to interact. In particular we consider the average abundances of two strategies, A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-24 Tibor Antal , Martin A. Nowak , Arne Traulsen

A one dimensional non-equilibrium stochastic model is proposed where each site of the lattice is occupied by a particle, which may be of type A or B. The time evolution of the model occurs through three processes: autocatalytic generation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Wellington G. Dantas , Armando Ticona , Jurgen F. Stilck

Birth-death processes form a natural class where ideas and results on large deviations can be tested. In this paper, we derive a large deviation principle under the assumption that the rate of a jump down (death) is growing asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Maicon Aparecido Pinheiro

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

We design a stochastic individual-based model structured in energy, for single species consuming an external resource, where populations are characterized by a typical energy at birth in $\mathbb{R}^{*}_{+}$. The resource is maintained at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Sylvain Billiard , Virgile Brodu , Nicolas Champagnat , Coralie Fritsch

Consider a birth and death chain to model the number of types of a given virus. Each type gives birth to a new type at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate 1. Each type is also assigned a fitness. When a death occurs either the least fit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 J. T. Cox , R. B. Schinazi

A stochastic model for behavioral changes by imitative pair interactions of individuals is developed. `Microscopic' assumptions on the specific form of the imitative processes lead to a stochastic version of the game dynamical equations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

We develop a theory of first passage processes in stochastic non-equilibrium systems of birth-death type using two closely related epidemiological models as examples. Our method employs the probability generating function technique in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

We consider stochastic processes indexed by the vertices of an infinite binary tree having a simple recursive structure. The value at any vertex is some fixed function of the values at the two daughter vertices together with some…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jon Warren

Graph structures offer a versatile framework for representing diverse patterns in nature and complex systems, applicable across domains like molecular chemistry, social networks, and transportation systems. While diffusion models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Adrien Carrel

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-04 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

Spatial birth and death processes are obtained as solutions of a system of stochastic equations. The processes are required to be locally finite, but may involve an infinite population over the full (noncompact) type space. Conditions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nancy L. Garcia , Thomas G. Kurtz
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