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We construct geodesics in the Wasserstein space of probability measure along which all the measures have an upper bound on their density that is determined by the densities of the endpoints of the geodesic. Using these geodesics we show…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2011-11-24 Tapio Rajala

The default Gaussian latent in flow-based generative models poses challenges when learning certain distributions such as heavy-tailed ones. We introduce a general framework for learning data-adaptive latent distributions using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Jannis Chemseddine , Gregor Kornhardt , Richard Duong , Gabriele Steidl

Shape restriction, like monotonicity or convexity, imposed on a function of interest, such as a regression or density function, allows for its estimation without smoothness assumptions. The concept of $k$-monotonicity encompasses a family…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Computer vision systems that are deployed in safety-critical applications need to quantify their output uncertainty. We study regression from images to parameter values and here it is common to detect uncertainty by predicting probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Ziliang Xiong , Arvi Jonnarth , Abdelrahman Eldesokey , Joakim Johnander , Bastian Wandt , Per-Erik Forssen

Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-24 Vittorio Orlandi , Jared Murray , Antonio Linero , Alexander Volfovsky

The analysis of samples of random objects that do not lie in a vector space is gaining increasing attention in statistics. An important class of such object data is univariate probability measures defined on the real line. Adopting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Yaqing Chen , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Müller

We introduce a Bayesian estimator of the underlying class structure in the stochastic block model, when the number of classes is known. The estimator is the posterior mode corresponding to a Dirichlet prior on the class proportions, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphanie van der Pas , Aad van der Vaart

Distribution data refers to a data set where each sample is represented as a probability distribution, a subject area receiving burgeoning interest in the field of statistics. Although several studies have developed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Ryo Okano , Masaaki Imaizumi

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Construction of ambiguity set in robust optimization relies on the choice of divergences between probability distributions. In distribution learning, choosing appropriate probability distributions based on observed data is critical for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-24 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Nan Yang

This report works out the details of a closed-form, fully Bayesian, multiclass, openset, generative pattern classifier using multivariate Gaussian likelihoods, with conjugate priors. The generative model has a common within-class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-25 Niko Brummer

This article deals with random projections applied as a data reduction technique for Bayesian regression analysis. We show sufficient conditions under which the entire $d$-dimensional distribution is approximately preserved under random…

The Busemann function has recently found much interest in a variety of geometric machine learning problems, as it naturally defines projections onto geodesic rays of Riemannian manifolds and generalizes the notion of hyperplanes. As several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Clément Bonet , Elsa Cazelles , Lucas Drumetz , Nicolas Courty

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the paper is to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Julyan Arbel , Ghislaine Gayraud , Judith Rousseau

We introduce the Locally Linear Latent Variable Model (LL-LVM), a probabilistic model for non-linear manifold discovery that describes a joint distribution over observations, their manifold coordinates and locally linear maps conditioned on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-02 Mijung Park , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Ahmad Qamar , Zoltan Szabo , Lars Buesing , Maneesh Sahani

In this technical report, we consider conditional density estimation with a maximum likelihood approach. Under weak assumptions, we obtain a theoretical bound for a Kullback-Leibler type loss for a single model maximum likelihood estimate.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Serge Cohen , Erwan Le Pennec

Standard present day large-scale structure (LSS) analyses make a major assumption in their Bayesian parameter inference --- that the likelihood has a Gaussian form. For summary statistics currently used in LSS, this assumption, even if the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-06 ChangHoon Hahn , Florian Beutler , Manodeep Sinha , Andreas Berlind , Shirley Ho , David W. Hogg

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Chengliang Tang , Nathan Lenssen , Ying Wei , Tian Zheng

We study the well-posedness of the Bayesian inverse problem for scalar hyperbolic conservation laws where the statistical information about inputs such as the initial datum and (possibly discontinuous) flux function are inferred from noisy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Siddhartha Mishra , David Ochsner , Adrian M. Ruf , Franziska Weber

We study prior distributions for Poisson parameter estimation under $L^1$ loss. Specifically, we construct a new family of prior distributions whose optimal Bayesian estimators (the conditional medians) can be any prescribed increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor