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Related papers: On Asymptotics of Optimal Stopping Times

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In nonstationary bandit learning problems, the decision-maker must continually gather information and adapt their action selection as the latent state of the environment evolves. In each time period, some latent optimal action maximizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Seungki Min , Daniel Russo

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

In this paper, we investigate an interesting and important stopping problem mixed with stochastic controls and a \textit{nonsmooth} utility over a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-06 Chonghu Guan , Xun Li , Zuoquan Xu , Fahuai Yi

Assuming that data are collected sequentially from independent streams, we consider the simultaneous testing of multiple binary hypotheses under two general setups; when the number of signals (correct alternatives) is known in advance, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

A general result on the method of randomized stopping is proved. It is applied to optimal stopping of controlled diffusion processes with unbounded coefficients to reduce it to an optimal control problem without stopping. This is motivated…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-15 Istvan Gyongy , David Siska

In this paper, we consider the problem of optimizing the worst-case behavior of a partially observed system. All uncontrolled disturbances are modeled as finite-valued uncertain variables. Using the theory of cost distributions, we present…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Aditya Dave , Nishanth Venkatesh , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

We study learning of probability distributions characterized by an unknown symmetry direction. Based on an entropic performance measure and the variational method of statistical mechanics we develop exact upper and lower bounds on the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Herschkowitz , M. Opper

We study the properties of the free boundaries and the corresponding hitting times in the context of optimal stopping in discrete time. We first prove the continuity of the map from the boundaries to the expected value of the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 H. Mete Soner , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

The purpose of this note is to show how simple Optimal Transport arguments, on the real line, can be used in Superconcentration theory. This methodology is efficient to produce sharp non-asymptotic variance bounds for various functionals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Kevin Tanguy

We investigate the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution in a sequential setup. The aim is to jointly infer the true hypothesis and the true parameter while using on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-02 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

We study an optimal stopping problem with an unbounded, time-dependent and discontinuous reward function. This problem is motivated by the pricing of a variable annuity contract with guaranteed minimum maturity benefit, under the assumption…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Anne Mackay , Marie-Claude Vachon

A variant of the optimal control problem is considered which is nonstandard in that the performance index contains "stochastic" integrals, that is, integrals against very irregular functions. The motivation for considering such performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Jochen Bröcker

We revisit the problem of stochastic online learning with feedback graphs, with the goal of devising algorithms that are optimal, up to constants, both asymptotically and in finite time. We show that, surprisingly, the notion of optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Teodor V. Marinov , Mehryar Mohri , Julian Zimmert

We study the average asymptotic growth rate of cells in randomly fluctuating environments, with multiple viable phenotypes per environment. We show that any information processing strategy has an asymptotic growth rate, which is the sum of:…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-03-13 Rami Pugatch , Naama Barkai , Tsvi Tlusty

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

We consider the best-choice problem for independent (not necessarily iid) observations $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ with the aim of selecting the sample minimum. We show that in this full generality the monotone case of optimal stopping holds and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Alexander Gnedin , Patryk Kozieł , Małgorzata Sulkowska

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi