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Related papers: Cross-Validation for Correlated Data

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Least-squares models such as linear regression and Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) are amongst the most popular statistical learning techniques. However, since their computation time increases cubically with the number of features, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Matthias S. Treder

The coefficient of variation (CV) is commonly used to measure relative dispersion. However, since it is based on the sample mean and standard deviation, outliers can adversely affect the CV. Additionally, for skewed distributions the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

Generalized additive partial linear models (GAPLMs) are appealing for model interpretation and prediction. However, for GAPLMs, the covariates and the degree of smoothing in the nonparametric parts are often difficult to determine in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Ze Chen , Jun Liao , Wangli Xu , Yuhong Yang

The Pickands estimator for the extreme value index is beneficial due to its universal consistency, location, and scale invariance, which sets it apart from other types of estimators. However, similar to many extreme value index estimators,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Yizhou Li , Pawel Polak

In this paper, we propose a model averaging approach for addressing model uncertainty in the context of partial linear functional additive models. These models are designed to describe the relation between a response and mixed-types of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Shishi Liu , Jingxiao Zhang

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

Deep neural network based question answering (QA) models are neither robust nor explainable in many cases. For example, a multiple-choice QA model, tested without any input of question, is surprisingly "capable" to predict the most of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Sicheng Yu , Yulei Niu , Shuohang Wang , Jing Jiang , Qianru Sun

Ensemble disagreement is widely used as a proxy for epistemic uncertainty in medical image segmentation. In practice, many studies form ensembles via K-fold cross-validation (CV), yet refer to them as ``deep ensembles'' (DE). Because CV…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Tristan Kirscher , Markus Bujotzek , Yannick Kirchhoff , Maximilian Rokuss , Fabian Isensee , Kim-Celine Kahl , Balint Kovacs , Klaus Maier-Hein

An important question in constructing Cross Validation (CV) estimators of the generalization error is whether rules can be established that allow "optimal" selection of the size of the training set, for fixed sample size $n$. We define the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-11 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou

We consider the problem of bandwidth selection by cross-validation from a sequential point of view in a nonparametric regression model. Having in mind that in applications one often aims at estimation, prediction and change detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

We revisit the problem of ensuring strong test set performance via cross-validation, and propose a nested k-fold cross-validation scheme that selects hyperparameters by minimizing a weighted sum of the usual cross-validation metric and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Ryan Cory-Wright , Andrés Gómez

This paper addresses feature subset selection for Support Vector Machines (SVMs) based on the cross-validation criterion. Unlike statistical criteria such as the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian information criterion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Masaharu Mori , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Ryuta Tamura , Yuichi Takano , Ryuhei Miyashiro

Vovk (2015) introduced cross-conformal prediction, a modification of split conformal designed to improve the width of prediction sets. The method, when trained with a miscoverage rate equal to $\alpha$ and $n \gg K$, ensures a marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

A new method of bandwidth selection for kernel density estimators is proposed. The method, termed indirect cross-validation, or ICV, makes use of so-called selection kernels. Least squares cross-validation (LSCV) is used to select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-02 Olga Y. Savchuk , Jeffrey D. Hart , Simon J. Sheather

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) is a popular method for estimating out-of-sample predictive accuracy. However, computing LOO-CV criteria can be computationally expensive due to the need to fit the model multiple times. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-28 Luca Silva , Giacomo Zanella

In many applied fields incomplete covariate vectors are commonly encountered. It is well known that this can be problematic when making inference on model parameters, but its impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , Peter Müller

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection plays a key role in enhancing the robustness of artificial intelligence systems by identifying inputs that differ significantly from the training distribution, thereby preventing unreliable predictions…

The adaptive lasso refers to a class of methods that use weighted versions of the $L_1$-norm penalty, with weights derived from an initial estimate of the parameter vector to be estimated. Irrespective of the method chosen to compute this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Ballout Nadim , Etievant Lola , Viallon Vivian

This paper introduces and develops a theoretical extension of the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC), called the Covariance-Corrected WAIC (CC-WAIC), that applied for Bayesian sequential data models. The CC-WAIC accounts for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Safaa K. Kadhem

In this paper we provide insight into the empirical properties of indirect cross-validation (ICV), a new method of bandwidth selection for kernel density estimators. First, we describe the method and report on the theoretical results used…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-02 Olga Y. Savchuk , Jeffrey D. Hart , Simon J. Sheather