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We study the Bayesian model of opinion exchange of fully rational agents arranged on a network. In this model, the agents receive private signals that are indicative of an unkown state of the world. Then, they repeatedly announce the state…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Jan Hązła , Ali Jadbabaie , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process. Mean-variance estimation networks can learn this type of uncertainty but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jiaxiang Yi , Miguel A. Bessa

It has been shown both experimentally and theoretically that sparse signal recovery can be significantly improved given that part of the signal's support is known \emph{a priori}. In practice, however, such prior knowledge is usually…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-21 Jun Fang , Yanning Shen , Fuwei Li , Hongbin Li

Attention-based neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art results on a wide range of tasks. Most such models use deterministic attention while stochastic attention is less explored due to the optimization difficulties or complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Shujian Zhang , Xinjie Fan , Bo Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

Sequential learning models situations where agents predict a ground truth in sequence, by using their private, noisy measurements, and the predictions of agents who came earlier in the sequence. We study sequential learning in a social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Filip Úradník , Amanda Wang , Jie Gao

Collective intelligence is believed to underly the remarkable success of human society. The formation of accurate shared beliefs is one of the key components of human collective intelligence. How are accurate shared beliefs formed in groups…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Peter M. Krafft , Julia Zheng , Wei Pan , Nicolás Della Penna , Yaniv Altshuler , Erez Shmueli , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Alex Pentland

In this paper we study the problem of social learning under multiple true hypotheses and self-interested agents which exchange information over a graph. In this setup, each agent receives data that might be generated from a different…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Konstantinos Ntemos , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

Most human behaviors consist of multiple parts, steps, or subtasks. These structures guide our action planning and execution, but when we observe others, the latent structure of their actions is typically unobservable, and must be inferred…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-28 Ryo Nakahashi , Chris L. Baker , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

We consider a model of Bayesian observational learning in which a sequence of agents receives a private signal about an underlying binary state of the world. Each agent makes a decision based on its own signal and its observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Shuo Wu , Pawan Poojary , Randall Berry

Imitation is an important learning heuristic in animal and human societies. Previous explorations report that the fate of individuals with cooperative strategies is sensitive to the protocol of imitation, leading to a conundrum about how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-22 Xiaochen Wang , Lei Zhou , Alex McAvoy , Aming Li

Semi-supervised learning on real-world graphs is frequently challenged by heterophily, where the observed graph is unreliable or label-disassortative. Many existing graph neural networks either rely on a fixed adjacency structure or attempt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yoonhyuk Choi , Jiho Choi , Chanran Kim , Yumin Lee , Hawon Shin , Yeowon Jeon , Minjeong Kim , Jiwoo Kang

We develop the theory and practice of an approach to modelling and probabilistic inference in causal networks that is suitable when application-specific or analysis-specific constraints should inform such inference or when little or no data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Paul Beaumont , Michael Huth

We investigate the problem of truth discovery based on opinions from multiple agents who may be unreliable or biased. We consider the case where agents' reliabilities or biases are correlated if they belong to the same community, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Jielong Yang , Junshan Wang , Wee Peng Tay

This work studies the learning process over social networks under partial and random information sharing. In traditional social learning models, agents exchange full belief information with each other while trying to infer the true state of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Ali H. Sayed

We study the problem of an agent continuously faced with the decision of placing or not placing trust in an institution. The agent makes use of Bayesian learning in order to estimate the institution's true trustworthiness and makes the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-06 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

This paper addresses the question whether model knowledge can guide a defender to appropriate decisions, or not, when an attacker intrudes into control systems. The model-based defense scheme considered in this study, namely Bayesian…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Hampei Sasahara , Henrik Sandberg

Several methods have recently been developed for joint structure learning of multiple (related) graphical models or networks. These methods treat individual networks as exchangeable, such that each pair of networks are equally encouraged to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 Chris J. Oates , Sach Mukherjee

We study a dynamic model of Bayesian persuasion in sequential decision-making settings. An informed principal observes an external parameter of the world and advises an uninformed agent about actions to take over time. The agent takes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Jiarui Gan , Rupak Majumdar , Goran Radanovic , Adish Singla

Bayesian sociality models provide a scalable and flexible alternative for network analysis, capturing degree heterogeneity through actor-specific parameters while mitigating the identifiability challenges of latent space models. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Juan Sosa , Carlo Martínez

This work proposes a novel strategy for social learning by introducing the critical feature of adaptation. In social learning, several distributed agents update continually their belief about a phenomenon of interest through: i) direct…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed