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Agents that interact with other agents often do not know a priori what the other agents' strategies are, but have to maximise their own online return while interacting with and learning about others. The optimal adaptive behaviour under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Luisa Zintgraf , Sam Devlin , Kamil Ciosek , Shimon Whiteson , Katja Hofmann

An individual's opinion concerning political bias in the media is shaped by exogenous factors (independent analysis of media outputs) and endogenous factors (social activity, e.g. peer pressure by political allies and opponents in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-11 Jarra Horstman , Andrew Melatos , Farhad Farokhi

Integrating information gained by observing others via Social Bayesian Learning can be beneficial for an agent's performance, but can also enable population wide information cascades that perpetuate false beliefs through the agent…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-06-05 Christoph Salge , Daniel Polani

This paper surveys mathematical models, structural results and algorithms in controlled sensing with social learning in social networks. Part 1, namely Bayesian Social Learning with Controlled Sensing addresses the following questions: How…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-29 Vikram Krishnamurthy

We study online Bayesian persuasion problems in which an informed sender repeatedly faces a receiver with the goal of influencing their behavior through the provision of payoff-relevant information. Previous works assume that the sender has…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Francesco Bacchiocchi , Matteo Bollini , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

This work explores a social learning problem with agents having nonidentical noise variances and mismatched beliefs. We consider an $N$-agent binary hypothesis test in which each agent sequentially makes a decision based not only on a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Daewon Seo , Ravi Kiran Raman , Joong Bum Rhim , Vivek K Goyal , Lav R Varshney

We propose a collective opinion formation model with a so-called confirmation bias. The confirmation bias is a psychological effect with which, in the context of opinion formation, an individual in favor of an opinion is prone to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-24 Ryosuke Nishi , Naoki Masuda

There is increasing interest in learning how human brain networks vary as a function of a continuous trait, but flexible and efficient procedures to accomplish this goal are limited. We develop a Bayesian semiparametric model, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Lu Wang , Daniele Durante , Rex E. Jung , David B. Dunson

We study how long-lived, rational agents learn in a social network. In every period, after observing the past actions of his neighbors, each agent receives a private signal, and chooses an action whose payoff depends only on the state.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-22 Wanying Huang , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

In Bayesian persuasion, an informed sender, who observes a state, commits to a randomized signaling scheme that guides a self-interested receiver's actions. Classical models assume the receiver knows the commitment. We, instead, study the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Caleb Probine , Mustafa O. Karabag , Ufuk Topcu

Understanding information exchange and aggregation on networks is a central problem in theoretical economics, probability and statistics. We study a standard model of economic agents on the nodes of a social network graph who learn a binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-01 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

Bayesian persuasion, a central model in information design, studies how a sender, who privately observes a state drawn from a prior distribution, strategically sends a signal to influence a receiver's action. A key assumption is that both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jingwu Tang , Jiahao Zhang , Fei Fang , Zhiwei Steven Wu

This paper considers a problem of distributed hypothesis testing and social learning. Individual nodes in a network receive noisy local (private) observations whose distribution is parameterized by a discrete parameter (hypotheses). The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-17 Anusha Lalitha , Tara Javidi , Anand Sarwate

Learning internal representations from data using no or few labels is useful for machine learning research, as it allows using massive amounts of unlabeled data. In this work, we use the Bayesian Confidence Propagation Neural Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Naresh Balaji Ravichandran , Anders Lansner , Pawel Herman

We consider distributed learning problem in games with an unknown cost-relevant parameter, and aim to find the Nash equilibrium while learning the true parameter. Inspired by the social learning literature, we propose a distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Shijie Huang , Jinlong Lei , Yiguang Hong

Bayesian approaches to learn the graphical structure of Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) from databases share the assumption that the database is complete, that is, no entry is reported as unknown. Attempts to relax this assumption involve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Marco Ramoni , Paola Sebastiani

We consider an agent who represents uncertainty about the environment via a possibly misspecified model. Each period, the agent takes an action, observes a consequence, and uses Bayes' rule to update her belief about the environment. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-10-24 Ignacio Esponda , Demian Pouzo , Yuichi Yamamoto

In this paper, we study the problem of structure learning for Bayesian networks in which nodes take discrete values. The problem is NP-hard in general but we show that under certain conditions we can recover the true structure of a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Adarsh Barik , Jean Honorio

State-of-the-art deep-learning systems use decision rules that are challenging for humans to model. Explainable AI (XAI) attempts to improve human understanding but rarely accounts for how people typically reason about unfamiliar agents. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Wai Keen Vong , Ravi B. Sojitra , Tomas Folke , Patrick Shafto

We show that social learning is not useful in a model of team binary decision making by voting, where each vote carries equal weight. Specifically, we consider Bayesian binary hypothesis testing where agents have any…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Joong Bum Rhim , Vivek K. Goyal