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We describe an adaptive importance sampling algorithm for rare events that is based on a dual stochastic control formulation of a path sampling problem. Specifically, we focus on path functionals that have the form of cumulate generating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

This paper describes a new Monte Carlo method based on a novel stochastic potential switching algorithm. This algorithm enables the equilibrium properties of a system with potential $V$ to be computed using a Monte Carlo simulation for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. H. Mak

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are a powerful tool for sampling equilibrium configurations in complex systems. One problem these methods often face is slow convergence over large energy barriers. In this work, we propose a novel method…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-29 Luigi Sbailò , Manuel Dibak , Frank Noé

We introduce a general form of sequential Monte Carlo algorithm defined in terms of a parameterized resampling mechanism. We find that a suitably generalized notion of the Effective Sample Size (ESS), widely used to monitor algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2016-01-08 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee , Kari Heine

Decision making for dynamic systems is challenging due to the scale and dynamicity of such systems, and it is comprised of decisions at strategic, tactical, and operational levels. One of the most important aspects of decision making is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-12 Sara Masoud , Bijoy Chowdhury , Young-Jun Son , Russell Tronstad

This paper develops algorithms for high-dimensional stochastic control problems based on deep learning and dynamic programming. Unlike classical approximate dynamic programming approaches, we first approximate the optimal policy by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Côme Huré , Huyên Pham , Achref Bachouch , Nicolas Langrené

To deal with very large datasets a mini-batch version of the Monte Carlo Markov Chain Stochastic Approximation Expectation-Maximization algorithm for general latent variable models is proposed. For exponential models the algorithm is shown…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-30 Tabea Rebafka , Estelle Kuhn , Catherine Matias

The number of resident space objects is rising at an alarming rate. Mega-constellations and breakup events are proliferating in most orbital regimes, and safe navigation is becoming increasingly problematic. It is important to be able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-11 Yannick Sztamfater Garcia , Joaquin Miguez , Manuel Sanjurjo-Rivo

We introduce a powerful and flexible MCMC algorithm for stochastic simulation. The method builds on a pseudo-marginal method originally introduced in [Genetics 164 (2003) 1139--1160], showing how algorithms which are approximations to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Christophe Andrieu , Gareth O. Roberts

Based on the principles of importance sampling and resampling, sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) encompasses a large set of powerful techniques dealing with complex stochastic dynamic systems. Many of these systems possess strong memory, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-22 Ming Lin , Rong Chen , Jun S. Liu

Monte Carlo method is a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results. They are often used in physical and mathematical problems and are most useful when it is difficult or…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-28 Bochao Jia

We use the technique of information relaxation to develop a duality-driven iterative approach to obtaining and improving confidence interval estimates for the true value of finite-horizon stochastic dynamic programming problems. We show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Nan Chen , Xiang Ma , Yanchu Liu , Wei Yu

The most efficient algorithms for finding maximum independent sets in both theory and practice use reduction rules to obtain a much smaller problem instance called a kernel. The kernel can then be solved quickly using exact or heuristic…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-09-11 Demian Hespe , Christian Schulz , Darren Strash

In this paper we study randomized optimal stopping problems and consider corresponding forward and backward Monte Carlo based optimisation algorithms. In particular we prove the convergence of the proposed algorithms and derive the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers

Sparse principal component analysis addresses the problem of finding a linear combination of the variables in a given data set with a sparse coefficients vector that maximizes the variability of the data. This model enhances the ability to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Amir Beck , Yakov Vaisbourd

This article proposes an artificial data generating algorithm that is simple and easy to customize. The fundamental concept is to perform random permutation of Monte Carlo generated random numbers which conform to the unconditional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-17 A. Christian Silva , Fernando F. Ferreira

Monte Carlo algorithms are a foundational pillar of modern computational science, yet their effective application hinges on a deep understanding of their performance trade offs. This paper presents a critical analysis of the evolution of…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-23 Ravi Prasad

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski