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Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

Each gene has its own evolutionary history which can substantially differ from the evolutionary histories of other genes. For example, some individual genes or operons can be affected by specific horizontal gene transfer and recombination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-26 Nadia Tahiri , Bernard Fichet , Vladimir Makarenkov

The reduced Markov branching process is a stochastic model for the genealogy of an unstructured biological population. Its limit behavior in the critical case is well studied for the Zolotarev-Slack regularity parameter $\alpha\in(0,1]$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-16 Andreas N. Lagerås , Serik Sagitov

For the stochastic partial differential equation $\frac{\partial u}{\partial t}=\mathcal L u +u\dot W$ where $\dot W$ is Gaussian noise colored in time and $\mathcal L$ is the infinitesimal generator of a Feller process $X$, we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Jian Song , Meng Wang , Wangjun Yuan

Phylogenetic tree shapes capture fundamental signatures of evolution. We consider ``ranked'' tree shapes, which are equipped with a total order on the internal nodes compatible with the tree graph. Recent work has established an elegant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-10 Chris Jennings-Shaffer , Ziyue , Chen , Julia A Palacios , Frederick A Matsen

We revisit the spatial ${\lambda}$-Fleming-Viot process introduced in [1]. Particularly, we are interested in the time $T_0$ to the most recent common ancestor for two lineages. We distinguish between the case where the process acts on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-14 Johannes Wirtz , Stéphane Guindon

Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Given a dataset of function-valued traits generated by evolution, we develop a practical statistical approach to infer ancestral…

We study the evolution of gene frequencies in a population living in $\mathbb{R}^d$, modelled by the spatial Lambda Fleming-Viot process with natural selection (Barton, Etheridge and Veber, 2010 and Etheridge, Veber and Yu, 2014). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Raphaël Forien , Sarah Penington

Duality plays an important role in population genetics. It can relate results from forwards-in-time models of allele frequency evolution with those of backwards-in-time genealogical models; a well known example is the duality between the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-09 Robert C. Griffiths , Paul A. Jenkins , Sabin Lessard

The deterministic selection-recombination equation describes the evolution of the genetic type composition of a population under selection and recombination in a law of large numbers regime. So far, an explicit solution has seemed out of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ellen Baake , Frederic Alberti

We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-24 T. B. Lysetskyi , Ya. I. Yeleiko

Modeling how individuals evolve over time is a fundamental problem in the natural and social sciences. However, existing datasets are often cross-sectional with each individual observed only once, making it impossible to apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Emma Pierson , Pang Wei Koh , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Daphne Koller , Jure Leskovec , Nicholas Eriksson , Percy Liang

We give a realization of the stable L\'evy forest of a given size conditioned by its mass from the path of the unconditioned forest. Then, we prove an invariance principle for this conditioned forest by considering $k$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-19 Loic Chaumont , Juan Carlos Pardo Millan

We study the exploration (or height) process of a continuous time non-binary Galton-Watson random tree, in the subcritical, critical and supercritical cases. Thus we consider the branching process in continuous time (Z_{t})_{t\geq 0}, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Ibrahima Dramé , Etienne Pardoux , Ahmadou Bamba Sow

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Superdiffusions corresponding to differential operators of the form $\LL u+\beta u-\alpha u^{2}$ with large mass creation term $\beta$ are studied. Our construction for superdiffusions with large mass creations works for the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Zhen-Qing Chen , Janos Englander

Reconstructing the tree of life from molecular sequences is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Modern data sets often contain a large number of genes, which can complicate the reconstruction problem due to the fact that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Constantinos Daskalakis , Sebastien Roch

Consider a birth and death process started from one individual in which each individual gives birth at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate $\mu$, so that the population size grows at rate $r = \lambda - \mu$. Lambert and Harris, Johnston, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Jason Schweinsberg , Yubo Shuai

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic
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