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Several attempts to dampen the curse of dimensionnality problem of the Dynamic Programming approach for solving multistage optimization problems have been investigated. One popular way to address this issue is the Stochastic Dual Dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Marianne Akian , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Benoît Tran

Statistical distances (SDs), which quantify the dissimilarity between probability distributions, are central to machine learning and statistics. A modern method for estimating such distances from data relies on parametrizing a variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Sreejith Sreekumar , Zhengxin Zhang , Ziv Goldfeld

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

The design of training objective is central to training time-series forecasting models. Existing training objectives such as mean squared error mostly treat each future step as an independent, equally weighted task, which we found leading…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yuan Lu , Zhichao Chen , Tianqiao Liu , Shuting He , Zhixuan Chu , Qingsong Wen , Haoxuan Li , Zhouchen Lin

Statistical analysis of functional data is challenging due to their complex patterns, for which functional depth provides an effective means of reflecting their ordering structure. In this work, we investigate practical aspects of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Filip Bočinec , Stanislav Nagy , Hyemin Yeon

Surface metrology is the area of engineering concerned with the study of geometric variation in surfaces. This paper explores the potential for modern techniques from spatial statistics to act as generative models for geometric variation in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Chris. J. Oates , Wilfrid S. Kendall , Liam Fleming

Estimating the probabilities of rare failure events is a key challenge in the reliability analysis of physical systems. Subset simulation (SS) is a very popular adaptive Monte Carlo method for this problem. In SS, the small failure…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-25 Oindrila Kanjilal , Julien Bect

This paper introduces a new way to calculate distance-based statistics, particularly when the data are multivariate. The main idea is to pre-calculate the optimal projection directions given the variable dimension, and to project…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-11 Chuanping Yu , Xiaoming Huo

Stochastic sampling techniques are ubiquitous in real-time rendering, where performance constraints force the use of low sample counts, leading to noisy intermediate results. To remove this noise, the post-processing step of temporal and…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-10-25 William Donnelly , Alan Wolfe , Judith Bütepage , Jon Valdés

Functional data are typically modeled as sample paths of smooth stochastic processes in order to mitigate the fact that they are often observed discretely and noisily, occasionally irregularly and sparsely. The smoothness assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Neda Mohammadi , Victor M. Panaretos

Classical multidimensional scaling only works well when the noisy distances observed in a high dimensional space can be faithfully represented by Euclidean distances in a low dimensional space. Advanced models such as Maximum Variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-24 Chao Ding , Hou-Duo Qi

The most common approaches for solving multistage stochastic programming problems in the research literature have been to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Warren B Powell , Saeed Ghadimi

Picking manipulators are task specific robots, with fewer degrees of freedom compared to general-purpose manipulators, and are heavily used in industry. The efficiency of the picking robots is highly dependent on the path planning solution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Bernhard Wullt , Mikael Norrlöf , Per Mattsson , Thomas B. Schön

Motivated by information geometry, a distance function on the space of stochastic matrices is advocated. Starting with sequences of Markov chains the Bhattacharyya angle is advocated as the natural tool for comparing both short and long…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Antony R. Lee , Peter Tino , Iain Bruce Styles

Rolling forecasts have been almost overlooked in the renewable energy storage literature. In this paper, we provide a new approach for handling uncertainty not just in the accuracy of a forecast, but in the evolution of forecasts over time.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Saeed Ghadimi , Warren B. Powell

In machine learning, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is widely deployed to train models using highly non-convex objectives with equally complex noise models. Unfortunately, SGD theory often makes restrictive assumptions that fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Vivak Patel , Shushu Zhang , Bowen Tian

In this paper, we focus on the task of optimizing the parameters in Parametrized Quantum Circuits (PQCs). While popular algorithms, such as Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA), limit the number of circuit-execution to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-18 Sayantan Pramanik , M Girish Chandra

We introduce a new path integral Monte Carlo method for investigating nonadiabatic systems in thermal equilibrium and demonstrate an approach to reducing stochastic error. We derive a general path integral expression for the partition…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-07-11 Neil Raymond , Dmitri Iouchtchenko , Pierre-Nicholas Roy , Marcel Nooijen

This work investigates a three-dimensional slow-fast stochastic system with quadratic nonlinearity and additive noise, inspired by fluid dynamics. The deterministic counterpart exhibits a periodic orbit and a slow manifold. We demonstrate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Christian J. Pangerl , Martin Rasmussen

Density Functional Theory (DFT) has become a cornerstone in the modeling of metals. However, accurately simulating metals, particularly under extreme conditions, presents two significant challenges. First, simulating complex metallic…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Jake P. Vu , Ming Chen