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Related papers: Quintet Volume Projection

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An empirical analysis, suggested by optimal Merton dynamics, reveals some unexpected features of asset volumes. These features are connected to traders' belief and risk aversion. This paper proposes a trading strategy model in the optimal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Francesca Mariani , Maria Cristina Recchioni , Tai-Ho Wang , Roberto Giacalone

In a closed manifold of positive dimension $n$, we estimate the expected volume and Euler characteristic for random submanifolds of codimension $r\in \{1,...,n\}$ in two different settings. On one hand, we consider a closed Riemannian…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-02-26 Thomas Letendre

Recent studies concerning the point electricity price forecasting have shown evidence that the hourly German Intraday Continuous Market is weak-form efficient. Therefore, we take a novel, advanced approach to the problem. A probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

In this work, we demonstrate a practical application of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) algorithms to enhance subroutines in the Black-Litterman (BL) portfolio optimization model. As a proof of concept, we implement a 12-qubit…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 Chi-Chun Chen , San-Lin Chung , Hsi-Sheng Goan

We make several improvements to the mean-variance framework for optimal pre-trade algorithmic execution, by working with volume measures and generic price dynamics. Volume measures are the continuum analogies for discrete volume profiles…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-27 Jackie Jianhong Shen

This study develops a digitalized forecasting-inventory optimization pipeline integrating traditional forecasting models, machine learning regressors, and deep sequence models within a unified inventory simulation framework. Using the M5…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Swata Marik , Swayamjit Saha , Garga Chatterjee

Machine learning models can solve complex tasks but often require significant computational resources during inference. This has led to the development of various post-training computation reduction methods that tackle this issue in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Florence Regol , Joud Chataoui , Bertrand Charpentier , Mark Coates , Pablo Piantanida , Stephan Gunnemann

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

Accurate and precise covariance matrices will be important in enabling planned cosmological surveys to detect new physics. Standard methods imply either the need for many N-body simulations in order to obtain an accurate estimate, or a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-13 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Central to many inferential situations is the estimation of rational functions of parameters. The mainstream in statistics and econometrics estimates these quantities based on the plug-in approach without consideration of the main objective…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-20 Andres Ramirez-Hassan , Manuel Correa-Giraldo

We employ a Bayesian modelling technique for high dimensional cointegration estimation to construct low volatility portfolios from a large number of stocks. The proposed Bayesian framework effectively identifies sparse and important…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-16 Parley R Yang , Alexander Y Shestopaloff

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

A novel method is proposed to infer Bayesian predictions of computationally expensive models. The method is based on the construction of quadrature rules, which are well-suited for approximating the weighted integrals occurring in Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-09 L. M. M. van den Bos , B. Sanderse , W. A. A. M. Bierbooms

We give upper bounds for volume of sublevel sets of real polynomials. Our method is to combine a version of global Lojasiewicz inequality with some well known estimate on volume of tubes around real algebraic sets. Some applications to…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Nguyen Quang Dieu , Dau Hoang Hung , Tien Son Pham , Hoang Thieu Anh

Motivated by predicting intraday trading volume curves, we consider two spatio-temporal autoregressive models for matrix time series, in which each column may represent daily trading volume curve of one asset, and each row captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Baojun Dou , Jing He , Sudhir Tiwari , Qiwei Yao

Inputs to machine learning models can have associated noise or uncertainties, but they are often ignored and not modelled. It is unknown if Bayesian Neural Networks and their approximations are able to consider uncertainty in their inputs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Marco Zullich