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We present a new procedure for enhanced variable selection for component-wise gradient boosting. Statistical boosting is a computational approach that emerged from machine learning, which allows to fit regression models in the presence of…

In this paper we propose using the principle of boosting to reduce the bias of a random forest prediction in the regression setting. From the original random forest fit we extract the residuals and then fit another random forest to these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Indrayudh Ghosal , Giles Hooker

We address the problem of finding influential training samples for a particular case of tree ensemble-based models, e.g., Random Forest (RF) or Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT). A natural way of formalizing this problem is studying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Boris Sharchilev , Yury Ustinovsky , Pavel Serdyukov , Maarten de Rijke

We propose a nonparametric method for dynamic prediction in event history analysis with high-dimensional, time-dependent covariates. The approach estimates future conditional hazards by combining landmarking supermodels with gradient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Oliver Lunding Sandqvist

Based on decision trees, many fields have arguably made tremendous progress in recent years. In simple words, decision trees use the strategy of "divide-and-conquer" to divide the complex problem on the dependency between input features and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Jinxiong Zhang

Variable selection is an important statistical problem. This problem becomes more challenging when the candidate predictors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous and binary) and impact the response variable in nonlinear and/or non-additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

This paper presents a computationally efficient variant of gradient boosting for multi-class classification and multi-output regression tasks. Standard gradient boosting uses a 1-vs-all strategy for classifications tasks with more than two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Seyedsaman Emami , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz

Tree ensemble models like random forests and gradient boosting machines are widely used in machine learning due to their excellent predictive performance. However, a high-performance ensemble consisting of a large number of decision trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-28 Zebin Yang , Agus Sudjianto , Xiaoming Li , Aijun Zhang

We propose PathBoost, a gradient tree boosting method for graph-level classification and regression that learns discriminative path-based features directly from the input graph structure. Building on a previous work, which was tailored to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Claudio Meggio , Johan Pensar , Riccardo De Bin

The gradient boosting machine is one of the powerful tools for solving regression problems. In order to cope with its shortcomings, an approach for constructing ensembles of gradient boosting models is proposed. The main idea behind the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Boosting is a method for finding a highly accurate hypothesis by linearly combining many ``weak" hypotheses, each of which may be only moderately accurate. Thus, boosting is a method for learning an ensemble of classifiers. While boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Sai Saketh Rambhatla , Michael Jones , Rama Chellappa

Motivated by challenges in the analysis of biomedical data and observational studies, we develop statistical boosting for the general class of bivariate distributional copula regression with arbitrary marginal distributions, which is suited…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Guillermo Briseño Sanchez , Nadja Klein , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

Decision trees usefully represent sparse, high dimensional and noisy data. Having learned a function from this data, we may want to thereafter integrate the function into a larger decision-making problem, e.g., for picking the best chemical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Miten Mistry , Dimitrios Letsios , Gerhard Krennrich , Robert M. Lee , Ruth Misener

We present a new tree boosting algorithm designed for the measurement of parameters in the context of effective field theory (EFT). To construct the algorithm, we interpret the optimized loss function of a traditional decision tree as the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-05-25 Suman Chatterjee , Nikolaus Frohner , Lukas Lechner , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz

Model performance is frequently reported only for the overall population under consideration. However, due to heterogeneity, overall performance measures often do not accurately represent model performance within specific subgroups. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ruotao Zhang , Constantine Gatsonis , Jon Steingrimsson

This paper introduces a novel nonparametric method for estimating high-dimensional dynamic covariance matrices with multiple conditioning covariates, leveraging random forests and supported by robust theoretical guarantees. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Shuguang Yu , Fan Zhou , Yingjie Zhang , Ziqi Chen , Hongtu Zhu

Deep generative models are effective methods of modeling data. However, it is not easy for a single generative model to faithfully capture the distributions of complex data such as images. In this paper, we propose an approach for boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Fan Bao , Hang Su , Jun Zhu

Heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in high-stakes applications demands models that simultaneously optimize precision, interpretability, and calibration. Many existing tree-based causal inference techniques, however, exhibit high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Yichen Liu

Gradient boosting is widely popular due to its flexibility and predictive accuracy. However, statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting remain challenging and under-explored. We propose a unified framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker

Gradient boosted decision trees are some of the most popular algorithms in applied machine learning. They are a flexible and powerful tool that can robustly fit to any tabular dataset in a scalable and computationally efficient way. One of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Daniel de Marchi , Matthew Welch , Michael Kosorok