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As an important tool characterizing the long time behavior of Markov processes, the Donsker-Varadhan LDP (large deviation principle) does not directly apply to distribution dependent SDEs/SPDEs since the solutions are non-Markovian. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang

We extend the construction principle of phase-type (PH) distributions to allow for inhomogeneous transition rates and show that this naturally leads to direct probabilistic descriptions of certain transformations of PH distributions. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Hansjörg Albrecher , Mogens Bladt

Monte Carlo methods represent a cornerstone of computer science. They allow to sample high dimensional distribution functions in an efficient way. In this paper we consider the extension of Automatic Differentiation (AD) techniques to Monte…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-07-31 Guilherme Catumba , Alberto Ramos , Bryan Zaldivar

In this paper, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic differential equations driven by stochastic integrals in one dimension. The result can be proved with a minimal use of rough path theory, and this implies the LDP…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Ryoji Takano

This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger

Output-length prediction is important for efficient LLM serving, as it directly affects batching, memory reservation, and scheduling. For prompt-only length prediction, most existing methods use a one-shot sampled length as the label,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Jing Wang , Yu-Yang Qian , Ke Xue , Chao Qian , Peng Zhao , Zhi-Hua Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a novel high-dimensional Factor-Adjusted sparse Partially Linear regression Model (FAPLM), to integrate the linear effects of high-dimensional latent factors with the nonparametric effects of low-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Yanmei Shi , Meiling Hao , Yanlin Tang , Xu Guo

The imbalance (or long-tail) is the nature of many real-world data distributions, which often induces the undesirable bias of deep classification models toward frequent classes, resulting in poor performance for tail classes. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Fudong Lin , Xu Yuan

Regularized linear regression under the $\ell_1$ penalty, such as the Lasso, has been shown to be effective in variable selection and sparse modeling. The sampling distribution of an $\ell_1$-penalized estimator $\hat{\beta}$ is hard to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-24 Qing Zhou

This paper studies the long-tailed semi-supervised learning (LTSSL) with distribution mismatch, where the class distribution of the labeled training data follows a long-tailed distribution and mismatches with that of the unlabeled training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Yaxin Hou , Yuheng Jia

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

Forecasting complex vehicle and pedestrian multi-modal distributions requires powerful probabilistic approaches. Normalizing flows (NF) have recently emerged as an attractive tool to model such distributions. However, a key drawback is that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Yecheng Jason Ma , Jeevana Priya Inala , Dinesh Jayaraman , Osbert Bastani

We propose a simple data model inspired from natural data such as text or images, and use it to study the importance of learning features in order to achieve good generalization. Our data model follows a long-tailed distribution in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Thomas Laurent , James H. von Brecht , Xavier Bresson

A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

We study semiparametric factor models in high-dimensional panels where the factor loadings consist of a nonparametric component explained by observed covariates and an idiosyncratic component capturing unobserved heterogeneity. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Sijie Zheng

Most existing state-of-the-art video classification methods assume that the training data obey a uniform distribution. However, video data in the real world typically exhibit an imbalanced long-tailed class distribution, resulting in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Yufan Hu , Junyu Gao , Changsheng Xu

In this paper, we focus on exploiting the group structure for large-dimensional factor models, which captures the homogeneous effects of common factors on individuals within the same group. In view of the fact that datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

Parameter inference, i.e. inferring the posterior distribution of the parameters of a statistical model given some data, is a central problem to many scientific disciplines. Generative models can be used as an alternative to Markov Chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Pablo Lemos , Adam Coogan , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

Kundu and Gupta (2007, Metrika, 65, 159 - 170) provided the analysis of Type-I hybrid censored competing risks data, when the lifetime distribution of the competing causes of failures follow exponential distribution. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-18 Arnab Koley , D. Kundu , Ayon Ganguly

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg
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