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A leading goal for climate science and weather risk management is to accurately model both the physics and statistics of extreme events. These two goals are fundamentally at odds: the higher a computational model's resolution, the more…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-06 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

Analyzing flight trajectory data sets poses challenges due to the intricate interconnections among various factors and the high dimensionality of the data. Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is a way of analyzing big data sets focusing on the…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Manuel Cuerno , Luis Guijarro , Rosa María Arnaldo Valdés , Fernando Gómez Comendador

Causal inference methods (instrumental variables, difference-in-differences, regression discontinuity, etc.) are primary tools used across many social science milieus. One area where their application has lagged however, is in the study of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Samuele Centorrino , Christopher F. Parmeter

Predicting transportation modes from GPS (Global Positioning System) records is a hot topic in the trajectory mining domain. Each GPS record is called a trajectory point and a trajectory is a sequence of these points. Trajectory mining has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Mohammad Etemad

Financial event studies, ubiquitous in finance research, typically use linear factor models with known factors to estimate abnormal returns and identify causal effects of information events. This paper demonstrates that when factor models…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Tianshu Lyu

Trajectory data analysis is an essential component for highly automated driving. Complex models developed with these data predict other road users' movement and behavior patterns. Based on these predictions - and additional contextual…

Real-time safety metrics are important for the automated driving system (ADS) to assess the risk of driving situations and to assist the decision-making. Although a number of real-time safety metrics have been proposed in the literature,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Xintao Yan , Shuo Feng , David J. LeBlanc , Carol Flannagan , Henry X. Liu

Hurricane evacuation, ordered to save lives of people of coastal regions, generates high traffic demand with increased crash risk. To mitigate such risk, transportation agencies need to anticipate highway locations with high crash risks to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Zaheen E Muktadi Syed , Samiul Hasan

This paper presents a learning from demonstration approach to programming safe, autonomous behaviors for uncommon driving scenarios. Simulation is used to re-create a targeted driving situation, one containing a road-side hazard creating a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Priyam Parashar , Akansel Cosgun , Alireza Nakhaei , Kikuo Fujimura

Aircraft engines are designed to be used during several tens of years. Their maintenance is a challenging and costly task, for obvious security reasons. The goal is to ensure a proper operation of the engines, in all conditions, with a zero…

Traffic prediction is a crucial topic because of its broad scope of applications in the transportation domain. Recently, various studies have achieved promising results. However, most studies assume the prediction locations have complete or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hao Mei , Junxian Li , Zhiming Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Bin Shi , Hua Wei

We consider a patient risk models which has access to patient features such as vital signs, lab values, and prior history but does not have access to a patient's diagnosis. For example, this occurs in a model deployed at intake time for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Alexander Peysakhovich , Rich Caruana , Yin Aphinyanaphongs

Travel patterns can be impacted by abnormal events. Assessing the impacts has important implications for relief operations and improving preparedness or planning for future events. Conventionally, the assessment is done followed by data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Feilong Wang , Xiangyang Guan , Cynthia Chen

By framing reinforcement learning as a sequence modeling problem, recent work has enabled the use of generative models, such as diffusion models, for planning. While these models are effective in predicting long-horizon state trajectories…

Microsimulation based frameworks have become very popular in many research areas including travel demand modeling where activity-based models have been in the center of attention for the past decade. Advanced activity-based models…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Zohreh Ghasemi

Recently, the proliferation of omni-channel platforms has attracted interest in customer journeys, particularly regarding their role in developing marketing strategies. However, few efforts have been taken to quantitatively study or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Keita Kinjo

In this study, we examine how event data from campus management systems can be used to analyze the study paths of higher education students. The main goal is to offer valuable guidance for their study planning. We employ process and data…

Autonomous vehicles are continually increasing their presence on public roads. However, before any new autonomous driving software can be approved, it must first undergo a rigorous assessment of driving quality. These quality evaluations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Maria A. Terres , Aiyou Chen , Ruixuan Rachel Zhou , Claire M. McLeod

Recent advances in data-driven computer vision have enabled robust autonomous navigation capabilities for civil aviation, including automated landing and runway detection. However, ensuring that these systems meet the robustness and safety…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Romeo Valentin , Sydney M. Katz , Artur B. Carneiro , Don Walker , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Causal excursion effect (CEE) characterizes the effect of an intervention under policies that deviate from the experimental policy. It is widely used to study the effect of time-varying interventions that have the potential to be frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Zhaoxi Cheng , Lauren Bell , Tianchen Qian
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