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Spectral subsampling MCMC was recently proposed to speed up Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for long stationary univariate time series by subsampling periodogram observations in the frequency domain. This article extends the approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Mattias Villani , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Robert Salomone

A new class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, based on simulating piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), have recently shown great promise: they are non-reversible, can mix better than standard MCMC algorithms, and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-23 Augustin Chevallier , Paul Fearnhead , Matthew Sutton

This paper concerns the introduction of a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with priors that belong to the general Poisson-Kingman class. We present a novel compact way of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-22 Maria Lomeli , Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

A popular method for sampling from high-dimensional distributions is the \emph{Gibbs sampler}, which iteratively resamples sites from the conditional distribution of the desired measure given the values of the other coordinates. It is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Jason Gaitonde , Elchanan Mossel

The utility of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is, in large part, determined by the size of the spectral gap of the corresponding Markov operator. However, calculating (and even approximating) the spectral gaps of practical Monte Carlo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Qian Qin , James P. Hobert , Kshitij Khare

We study plane trees as a model for RNA secondary structure, assigning energy to each tree based on the Nearest Neighbor Thermodynamic Model, and defining a corresponding Gibbs distribution on the trees. Through a bijection between plane…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-04-03 Anna Kirkpatrick , Kalen Patton

Sampling from Gibbs distribution is a central problem in computer science as well as in statistical physics. In this work we focus on the k-colouring model} and the hard-core model with fugacity \lambda when the underlying graph is an…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Charilaos Efthymiou

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Belief Propagation (BP) are the most popular algorithms for computational inference in Graphical Models (GM). In principle, MCMC is an exact probabilistic method which, however, often suffers from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Sungsoo Ahn , Michael Chertkov , Jinwoo Shin

In this paper, we present a method for computing the marginal likelihood, also known as the model likelihood or Bayesian evidence, from Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), or other sampled posterior distributions. In order to do this, one…

We present a probabilistic generative model for timing deviations in expressive music performance. The structure of the proposed model is equivalent to a switching state space model. The switch variables correspond to discrete note…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 A. T. Cemgil , B. Kappen

We define the spectral gap of a Markov chain on a finite state space as the second-smallest singular value of the generator of the chain, generalizing the usual definition of spectral gap for reversible chains. We then define the relaxation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Sourav Chatterjee

In this paper we consider a simple Markov chain for bipartite graphs with given degree sequence on $n$ vertices. We show that the mixing time of this Markov chain is bounded above by a polynomial in $n$ in case of {\em semi-regular} degree…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Péter L. Erdös , Istán Miklós , Lajos Soukup

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are an important class of time-series models, used to describe stochastic systems evolving in continuous time. Simulating paths from these processes, particularly after conditioning on noisy…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-03 Xinyi Pei , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We present a Bayesian approach to the problem of determining parameters for coalescing binary systems observed with laser interferometric detectors. By applying a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, specifically the Gibbs sampler, we…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 Nelson Christensen , Renate Meyer

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

We consider Markov chains on general state spaces in stationary random environment which are defined by a random mapping that is contractive up to a bounded perturbation. We prove their convergence to a limiting law, providing convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi , Lionel Truquet

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are foundational algorithms for Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling. However, most MCMC algorithms are inherently sequential and their time complexity scales linearly with the sequence…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-03 David M. Zoltowski , Skyler Wu , Xavier Gonzalez , Leo Kozachkov , Scott W. Linderman