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The scenario approach is widely used in robust control system design and chance-constrained optimization, maintaining convexity without requiring assumptions about the probability distribution of uncertain parameters. However, the approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Jaeseok Choi , Anand Deo , Constantino Lagoa , Anirudh Subramanyam

In this paper, probabilistic guarantees for constraint sampling of multistage robust convex optimization problems are derived. The dynamic nature of these problems is tackled via the so-called scenario-with-certificates approach. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Francesca Maggioni , Marida Bertocchi , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

The posterior variance of Gaussian processes is a valuable measure of the learning error which is exploited in various applications such as safe reinforcement learning and control design. However, suitable analysis of the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

In decision-making problems under uncertainty, probabilistic constraints are a valuable tool to express safety of decisions. They result from taking the probability measure of a given set of random inequalities depending on the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Yassine Laguel , Wim van Ackooij , Jérôme Malick , Guilherme Ramalho

Current deep learning-based solutions for image analysis tasks are commonly incapable of handling problems to which multiple different plausible solutions exist. In response, posterior-based methods such as conditional Diffusion Models and…

The aim in model order reduction is to approximate an input-output map described by a large-scale dynamical system with a low-dimensional and cheaper-to-evaluate reduced order model. While high fidelity can be achieved by a variety of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Björn Liljegren-Sailer

Solutions to inverse problems that are ill-conditioned or ill-posed may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Unfortunately, analysing and quantifying this uncertainty is very challenging, particularly in high-dimensional problems. As a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-12 Marcelo Pereyra

The dramatic increase of autonomous systems subject to variable environments has given rise to the pressing need to consider risk in both the synthesis and verification of policies for these systems. This paper aims to address a few…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Prithvi Akella , Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

Estimation of the degree of stability and the bounds of solutions to non-autonomous nonlinear systems present major concerns in numerous applied problems. Yet, current techniques are frequently yield overconservative conditions which are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Mark A. Pinsky

When using Bayesian inference to support conservative software reliability assessments, it is useful to consider a collection of Bayesian inference problems, with the aim of determining the worst-case value (from this collection) for a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Kizito Salako , Rabiu Tsoho Muhammad

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

The increasing complexity of automated driving functions and their growing operational design domains imply more demanding requirements on their validation. Classical methods such as field tests or formal analyses are not sufficient anymore…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Nicole Neis , Juergen Beyerer

In application areas where data generation is expensive, Gaussian processes are a preferred supervised learning model due to their high data-efficiency. Particularly in model-based control, Gaussian processes allow the derivation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We propose a stochastic approximation method for approximating the efficient frontier of chance-constrained nonlinear programs. Our approach is based on a bi-objective viewpoint of chance-constrained programs that seeks solutions on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Rohit Kannan , James Luedtke

Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) bounds are widely used to derive probabilistic guarantees for the generalisation of machine learning models. They highlight the components of the model which contribute to its generalisation capacity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Thomas Walker , Alessio Lomuscio

In this paper, we address the real-time risk-bounded safety verification problem of continuous-time state trajectories of autonomous systems in the presence of uncertain time-varying nonlinear safety constraints. Risk is defined as the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Ashkan Jasour , Weiqiao Han , Brian Williams

In certain applications involving the solution of a Bayesian inverse problem, it may not be possible or desirable to evaluate the full posterior, e.g. due to the high computational cost of doing so. This problem motivates the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan , Aretha Teckentrup

This paper directly builds upon previous work where we introduced new reduced basis a posteriori error bounds for parametrized saddle point problems based on Brezzi's theory. We here sharpen these estimates for the special case of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Anna-Lena Gerner , Karen Veroy

Conformal prediction and scenario optimization constitute two important classes of statistical learning frameworks to certify decisions made using data. They have found numerous applications in control theory, machine learning and robotics.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Niall O'Sullivan , Licio Romao , Kostas Margellos