English
Related papers

Related papers: Introduction to Dynamic Linear Models for Time Ser…

200 papers

A time series forecasting model--which is typically built on a single time series--is known as a local time series model (tsLM). In contrast, a forecasting model trained on multiple time series is referred to as a global time series model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Junru Ren , Shaomin Wu

The positive link prediction (PLP) problem is formulated in a system identification framework: we consider dynamic graphical models for auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian random processes. For the identification of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

The emerging paradigm of leveraging pretrained large language models (LLMs) for time series forecasting has predominantly employed linguistic-temporal modality alignment strategies through token-level or layer-wise feature mapping. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Siming Sun , Kai Zhang , Xuejun Jiang , Wenchao Meng , Qinmin Yang

In this paper, we propose a novel framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for predicting missing values in time-varying graph signals by exploiting spatial and temporal smoothness. We leverage the power of LLM to achieve a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Dayu Qin , Yi Yan , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

Building scalable and reusable multi-agent decision policies from offline datasets remains a challenge in offline multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), as existing methods often rely on fixed observation formats and action spaces that…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Zhuohui Zhang , Bin Cheng , Bin He

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

As metabolomics datasets are becoming larger and more complex, there is an increasing need for model-based data integration and analysis to optimally leverage these data. Dynamical models of metabolism allow for the integration of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-29 Polina Lakrisenko , Daniel Weindl

We propose a two-stage estimation method of variance components in time series models known as FDSLRMs, whose observations can be described by a linear mixed model (LMM). We based estimating variances, fundamental quantities in a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Martina Hančová , Gabriela Vozáriková , Andrej Gajdoš , Jozef Hanč

Time series are ubiquitous in our data rich world. In what follows I will describe how ideas from dynamical systems and topological data analysis can be combined to gain insights from time-varying data. We will see several applications to…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Jose A. Perea

In this paper we propose a new class of Dynamic Mixture Models (DAMMs) being able to sequentially adapt the mixture components as well as the mixture composition using information coming from the data. The information driven nature of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Leopoldo Catania

This paper explores the observability and estimation capability of dynamical systems using predominantly relative measurements of the system's state-space variables, with minimal to no reliance on absolute measurements of these variables.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Ioannis Raptis

Dynamic line rating (DLR) is an effective approach to enhancing the utilization of existing transmission line infrastructure by adapting line ratings according to real-time weather conditions. Accurate DLR forecasts are essential for grid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Minsoo Kim , Vladimir Dvorkin , Jip Kim

A great deal of attention has been recently given to Machine Learning (ML) techniques in many different application fields. This paper provides a vision of what ML can do in Power Line Communications (PLC). We firstly and briefly describe…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-07 Andrea M. Tonello , Nunzio A. Letizia , Davide Righini , Francesco Marcuzzi

In this paper, a new model-free anomaly detection framework is proposed for time-series induced by industrial dynamical systems.The framework lies in the category of conventional approaches which enable appealing features such as a learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-13 Mazen Alamir , Raphaël Dion

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool for effectively mining and learning from graph-structured data, with applications spanning numerous domains. However, most research focuses on static graphs, neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Yanping Zheng , Lu Yi , Zhewei Wei

There exist several data-driven approaches that enable us model time series data including traditional regression-based modeling approaches (i.e., ARIMA). Recently, deep learning techniques have been introduced and explored in the context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Saroj Gopali , Faranak Abri , Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

Network dynamics may be viewed as a process of change in the edge structure of a network, in the vertex set on which edges are defined, or in both simultaneously. Though early studies of such processes were primarily descriptive, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-29 Zack W. Almquist , Carter T. Butts

The continually increasing number of complex datasets each year necessitates ever improving machine learning methods for robust and accurate categorization of these data. This paper introduces Random Multimodel Deep Learning (RMDL): a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-01 Kamran Kowsari , Mojtaba Heidarysafa , Donald E. Brown , Kiana Jafari Meimandi , Laura E. Barnes

Motivated by two distinct types of biomedical time series data, digital health monitoring and neuroimaging, we develop a novel approach for changepoint analysis that uses a generalised linear mixed model framework. The generalised linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Mark B. Fiecas , Kathryn R. Cullen , Rebecca Killick

A new class of models, named dynamic quantile linear models, is presented. It combines dynamic linear models with distribution free quantile regression producing a robust statistical method. Bayesian inference for dynamic quantile linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-20 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Helio S. Migon , Leonardo S. Bastos