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Uncertainty of scientific findings are typically reported through statistical metrics such as $p$-values, confidence intervals, etc. The magnitude of this objective uncertainty is reflected in the language used by the authors to report…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Jamshid Sourati , Grace Shao

As scientists we like to think that modern societies and their members base their views, opinions and behaviour on scientific facts. This is not necessarily the case, even though we are all (over-) exposed to information flow through…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-04 Gerardo Iñiguez , Julia Tagüeña-Martínez , Kimmo K. Kaski , R. A. Barrio

This research presents the results of a comparative analysis of the links between religious practices and beliefs and levels of scientific knowledge. Based on secondary analyses of survey data in the European Union (Eurobarometers 2005 and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-26 Yves Gingras , Kristoff Talin

Communication of scientific knowledge beyond the walls of science is key to science's societal impact. Media channels play sizable roles in disseminating new scientific ideas about human health, economic welfare, and government policy as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-12 Yang Yang , Tanya Tian , Brian Uzzi , Benjamin Jones

Scientific literature has been growing exponentially for decades, with publications from the last twenty years now comprising 60% of all academic output. While the impact of information overload on news and social-media consumption is…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Antoine Houssard , Floriana Gargiulo , Tommaso Venturini , Paola Tubaro , Gabriele Di Bona

Science is a cumulative activity, which can manifest itself through the act of citing. Citations are also central to research evaluation, thus creating incentives for researchers to cite their own work. Using a dataset containing more than…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Philippe Vincent-Lamarre , Vincent Larivière

We design a double-or-quits game to compare the speed of learning one's specific ability with the speed of rising confidence as the task gets increasingly difficult. We find that people on average learn to be overconfident faster than they…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-11 Louis Lévy-Garboua , Muniza Askari , Marco Gazel

Misinformation -- false or misleading information -- is considered a significant societal concern due to its associated "misinformation effects," such as political polarization, erosion of trust in institutions, problematic behavior, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-30 Damian Hodel , Jevin West

The past few centuries have witnessed a dramatic growth in scientific and technological knowledge. However, the nature of that growth - whether exponential or otherwise - remains controversial, perhaps partly due to the lack of quantitative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-16 Huquan Kang , Luoyi Fu , Russell J. Funk , Xinbing Wang , Jiaxin Ding , Shiyu Liang , Jianghao Wang , Lei Zhou , Chenghu Zhou

Confidence is an essential ingredient of success in a wide range of domains ranging from job performance and mental health, to sports, business, and combat. Some authors have suggested that not just confidence but overconfidence-believing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-27 Dominic D. P. Johnson , James H. Fowler

Research into COVID-19 has been rapidly evolving since the onset of the pandemic. This occasionally results in contradictory recommendations by credible sources of scientific opinion, public health authorities, and medical professionals. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Salwa Alamir , Armineh Nourbakhsh , Cecilia Tilli , Sameena Shah , Manuela Veloso

The constantly growing body of scholarly knowledge of science, technology, and humanities is an asset of the mankind. While new discoveries expand the existing knowledge, they may simultaneously render some of it obsolete. It is crucial for…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Chaomei Chen

Despite extensive research on scientific disruption, two questions remain: why disruption has declined amid growing knowledge, and why disruptive work receives fewer and delayed citations. One way to address these questions is to identify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-11 Xiaoyao Yu , Talal Rahwan , Tao Jia

Scientific discovery is shaped by scientists' choices and thus by their career patterns. The increasing knowledge required to work at the frontier of science makes it harder for an individual to embark on unexplored paths. Yet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-28 Giorgio Tripodi , Francesca Chiaromonte , Fabrizio Lillo

Effectively engaging the public with science is vital for fostering trust and understanding in our scientific community. Yet, with an ever-growing volume of information, science communicators struggle to anticipate how audiences will…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Jiaxin Pei , Dustin Wright , Isabelle Augenstein , David Jurgens

Science progresses by building upon previous discoveries. It is commonly believed that the impact of scientific papers, as measured by citations, is positively correlated with the impact of past discoveries built upon. However, analyzing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-08 Jiazhen Liu , Tamang Kunal , Dashun Wang , Chaoming Song

References, the mechanism scientists rely on to signal previous knowledge, lately have turned into widely used and misused measures of scientific impact. Yet, when a discovery becomes common knowledge, citations suffer from obliteration by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Xiangyi Meng , Onur Varol , Albert-László Barabási

Scientific information expresses human understanding of nature. This knowledge is largely disseminated in different forms of text, including scientific papers, news articles, and discourse among people on social media. While important for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Dustin Wright

Over the last four decades, the way knowledge is created in academia has transformed dramatically: research teams have grown larger, scholars draw from ever-wider pools of prior work, and the most influential discoveries increasingly emerge…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Sarah J. James , Marcus A. Rodriguez , David P. Miller

Large Language Models (LLMs) have acquired ubiquitous attention for their performances across diverse domains. Our study here searches through LLMs' cognitive abilities and confidence dynamics. We dive deep into understanding the alignment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Aniket Kumar Singh , Suman Devkota , Bishal Lamichhane , Uttam Dhakal , Chandra Dhakal
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