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Let $\mathbf {X}=\{X_t, t=1,2,... \}$ be a stationary Gaussian random process, with mean $EX_t=\mu$ and covariance function $\gamma(\tau)=E(X_t-\mu)(X_{t+\tau}-\mu)$. Let $f(\lambda)$ be the corresponding spectral density; a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

In this paper, we consider parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations driven by Wiener processes and compound Poisson processes. We assume unknown parameters corresponding to coefficients of the drift term, diffusion term,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Shuntaro Suzuki , Takaaki Wakamatsu , Yasutaka Shimizu

Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density $f(\lambda)$ can be written as $f(\lambda)=|\lambda|^{-2d}g(|\lambda|)$, where $0<d<1/2$ (resp., $-1/2<d<0$), and $g$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-24 Judith Rousseau , Nicolas Chopin , Brunero Liseo

The estimation of coverage probabilities, and in particular of the missing mass, is a classical statistical problem with applications in numerous scientific fields. In this paper, we study this problem in relation to randomized data…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

The validity of two-step or plug-in inference methods is questioned in the Bayesian framework. We study semi-parametric models where the plug-in of a non-parametrically modelled nuisance component is used. We show that when the nuisance and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

We apply nonparametric Bayesian methods to study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We exhibit a prior on intensities which both leads to a computationally feasible method and enjoys…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Harry van Zanten

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

In this paper we provide general conditions to check on the model and the prior to derive posterior concentration rates for data-dependent priors (or empirical Bayes approaches). We aim at providing conditions that are close to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

We obtain quenched hitting distributions to be compound Poissonian for a certain class of random dynamical systems. The theory is general and designed to accommodate non-uniformly expanding behavior and targets that do not overlap much with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Lucas Amorim , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

We propose a methodology for modeling and comparing probability distributions within a Bayesian nonparametric framework. Building on dependent normalized random measures, we consider a prior distribution for a collection of discrete random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Mario Beraha , Jim E. Griffin

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

We discuss Bayesian nonparametric procedures for the regression analysis of compositional responses, that is, data supported on a multivariate simplex. The procedures are based on a modified class of multivariate Bernstein polynomials and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Claudia Wehrhahn , Andrés F. Barrientos , Alejandro Jara

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

Many modern experiments, such as microarray gene expression and genome-wide association studies, present the problem of estimating a large number of parallel effects. Bayesian inference is a popular approach for analyzing such data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 J G Liao , Arthur Berg , Timothy L McMurry

We propose a novel approach for density estimation called histogram trend filtering. Our estimator arises from looking at surrogate Poisson model for counts of observations in a partition of the support of the data. We begin by showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-09 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott
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