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Living systems have time-evolving interactions that, until recently, could not be identified accurately from recorded time series in the presence of noise. Stankovski et al. (Phys. Rev. Lett. 109 024101, 2012) introduced a method based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-14 Andrea Duggento , Tomislav Stankovski , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Measuring stochastic signals ("noise metrology") constitutes a central task in quantum sensing and the characterization of open quantum systems. Here we establish ultimate precision bounds for multiparameter estimation of stochastic signals…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-17 Anthony J. Brady , Yu-Xin Wang , Luis Pedro García-Pintos , Alexey V. Gorshkov

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

Classical metastability manifests as noise-driven switching between disjoint basins of attraction and slowing down of relaxation, quantum systems like qubits and Rydberg atoms exhibit analogous behavior through collective quantum jumps and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-28 Ya-Xin Xiang , Weibin Li , Zhengyang Bai , Yu-Qiang Ma

We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Grégoire Ferré , Hugo Touchette

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We develop a novel class of MCMC algorithms based on a stochastized Nesterov scheme. With an appropriate addition of noise, the result is a time-inhomogeneous underdamped Langevin equation, which we prove emits a specified target…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Duy H. Thai , Alexander L. Young , David B. Dunson

We study a diagnosis scheme to reliably detect the active mode of discrete-time, switched affine systems in the presence of measurement noise and asynchronous switching. The proposed scheme consists of two parts: (i) the construction of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-02 Jingwei Dong , Arman Sharifi Kolarijani , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Many complex phenomena, from weather systems to heartbeat rhythm patterns, are effectively modeled as low-dimensional dynamical systems. Such systems may behave chaotically under certain conditions, and so the ability to detect chaos based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Hagai Rappeport , Irit Levin Reisman , Naftali Tishby , Nathalie Q. Balaban

We propose an algorithm to actively estimate the parameters of a linear dynamical system. Given complete control over the system's input, our algorithm adaptively chooses the inputs to accelerate estimation. We show a finite time bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Andrew Wagenmaker , Kevin Jamieson

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

Levy processes are widely used in financial mathematics, telecommunication, economics, queueing theory and natural sciences for modelling. A typical model is obtained by considering finite dimensional linear stochastic SISO systems driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Laszlo Gerencser , Mate Manfay

We consider potential type dynamical systems in finite dimensions with two meta-stable states. They are subject to two sources of perturbation: a slow external periodic perturbation of period $T$ and a small Gaussian random perturbation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Samuel Herrmann , Peter Imkeller , Dierk Peithmann

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

Diverse complex dynamical systems are known to exhibit abrupt regime shifts at bifurcation points of the saddle-node type. The dynamics of most of these systems, however, have a stochastic component resulting in noise driven regime shifts…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-10-29 Sayantari Ghosh , Amit Kumar Pal , Indrani Bose

The inference of Markov models from data on stochastic dynamical trajectories over the large time-window $T$ is revisited via the Large Deviations at Level 2.5 for the time-empirical density and the time-empirical flows. The goal is to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-01 Cecile Monthus

The development of fault-tolerant quantum processors relies on the ability to control noise. A particularly insidious form of noise is temporally correlated or non-Markovian noise. By combining randomized benchmarking with supervised…

This letter reports on a new method of analysing experimentally gained time series with respect to different types of noise involved, namely, we show that it is possible to differentiate between dynamical and measurement noise. This method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Siefert , J. Peinke , R. Friedrich

Noise is usually regarded as adversarial to extract the effective dynamics from time series, such that the conventional data-driven approaches usually aim at learning the dynamics by mitigating the noisy effect. However, noise can have a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-12 Zequn Lin , Zhaofan Lu , Zengru Di , Ying Tang

Interpreting partial information collected from systems subject to noise is a key problem across scientific disciplines. Theoretical frameworks often focus on the dynamics of variables that result from coarse-graining the internal states of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-18 Pedro E. Harunari , Annwesha Dutta , Matteo Polettini , Édgar Roldán