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The scheduling and operation of power system becomes prominently complex and uncertain, especially with the penetration of distributed power. Load forecasting matters to the effective operation of power system. This paper proposes a novel…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Tinghui Ouyang , Yusen He , Huajin Li , Zhiyu Sun , Stephen Baek

Short-term forecasting of residential and commercial building energy consumption is widely used in power systems and continues to grow in importance. Data-driven short-term load forecasting (STLF), although promising, has suffered from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Patrick Emami , Abhijeet Sahu , Peter Graf

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is a challenging problem due to the complex nature of the time series expressing multiple seasonality and varying variance. This paper proposes an extension of a hybrid forecasting model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Appliance-level load forecasting plays a critical role in residential energy management, besides having significant importance for ancillary services performed by the utilities. In this paper, we propose to use an LSTM-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-30 Mina Razghandi , Hao Zhou , Melike Erol-Kantarci , Damla Turgut

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

We introduce a novel functional time series methodology for short-term load forecasting. The prediction is performed by means of a weighted average of past daily load segments, the shape of which is similar to the expected shape of the load…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Forecasting load in power transmission networks is essential across various hierarchical levels, from the system level down to individual points of delivery (PoD). While intuitive and locally accurate, traditional local forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Amirhossein Ahmadi , Hamidreza Zareipour , Henry Leung

While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Qiyuan Wang , Zhihui Chen , Chenye Wu

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Estimating electricity consumption accurately is essential for the planning and operation of energy systems, as well as for billing processes. Standard Load Profiles (SLP) are widely used to estimate consumption patterns of different user…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Jawana Gabrielski , Ulf Häger

Short-term load forecasting for AI data centers presents new challenges because it is computing-driven, with heterogeneous job arrivals, sizes, and durations exhibiting bursty, non-stationary dynamics. Compared with traditional load types,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Ziying Wang , Ying Zhang , Lei Wang , Yuzhang Lin

We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest

Meteorological factors (MF) are crucial in day-ahead load forecasting as they significantly influence the electricity consumption behaviors of consumers. Numerous studies have incorporated MF into the load forecasting model to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yangze Zhou , Guoxin Lin , Gonghao Zhang , Yi Wang

Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Nishant Gadde , Yoshua Alexander , Sarvesh Parthasarthy , Arman Allidina

Recent research shows large-scale AI-centric data centers could experience rapid fluctuations in power demand due to varying computation loads, such as sudden spikes from inference or interruption of training large language models (LLMs).…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Mariam Mughees , Yuzhuo Li , Yize Chen , Yunwei Ryan Li

Local Energy Communities are emerging as crucial players in the landscape of sustainable development. A significant challenge for these communities is achieving self-sufficiency through effective management of the balance between energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Fabio Turazza , Marcello Pietri , Natalia Selini Hadjidimitriou , Marco Mamei

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

The flexibility in electricity consumption and production in communities of residential buildings, including those with renewable energy sources and energy storage (a.k.a., prosumers), can effectively be utilized through the advancement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen