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Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

We present a new adaptive kernel density estimator based on linear diffusion processes. The proposed estimator builds on existing ideas for adaptive smoothing by incorporating information from a pilot density estimate. In addition, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Z. I. Botev , J. F. Grotowski , D. P. Kroese

Modern empirical work in Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often employs local polynomial estimation and inference with a mean square error (MSE) optimal bandwidth choice. This bandwidth yields an MSE-optimal RD treatment effect…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-21 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

Recent work has focused on the problem of nonparametric estimation of information divergence functionals. Many existing approaches are restrictive in their assumptions on the density support set or require difficult calculations at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Kevin R. Moon , Kumar Sricharan , Kristjan Greenewald , Alfred O. Hero

Nonparametric density estimation is of great importance when econometricians want to model the probabilistic or stochastic structure of a data set. This comprehensive review summarizes the most important theoretical aspects of kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-13 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Ronaldo Dias

Under covariate shift, training (source) data and testing (target) data differ in input space distribution, but share the same conditional label distribution. This poses a challenging machine learning task. Robust Bias-Aware (RBA)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Anqi Liu , Rizal Fathony , Brian D. Ziebart

Consistency of the kernel density estimator requires that the kernel bandwidth tends to zero as the sample size grows. In this paper we investigate the question of whether consistency is possible when the bandwidth is fixed, if we consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Clayton Scott

Copula modelling has become ubiquitous in modern statistics. Here, the problem of nonparametrically estimating a copula density is addressed. Arguably the most popular nonparametric density estimator, the kernel estimator is not suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-18 Gery Geenens , Arthur Charpentier , Davy Paindaveine

In this paper, we study the Bernstein polynomial model for estimating the multivariate distribution functions and densities with bounded support. As a mixture model of multivariate beta distributions, the maximum (approximate) likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Tao Wang , Zhong Guan

In modern data analysis, nonparametric measures of discrepancies between random variables are particularly important. The subject is well-studied in the frequentist literature, while the development in the Bayesian setting is limited where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Qinyi Zhang , Veit Wild , Sarah Filippi , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic

For a larger set of predictions of several differently trained machine learning models, known as bagging predictors, the mean of all predictions is taken by default. Nevertheless, this proceeding can deviate from the actual ground truth in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Philipp Seitz , Jan Schmitt , Andreas Schiffler

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

Most machine learning methods require tuning of hyper-parameters. For kernel ridge regression with the Gaussian kernel, the hyper-parameter is the bandwidth. The bandwidth specifies the length scale of the kernel and has to be carefully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Oskar Allerbo , Rebecka Jörnsten

We provide new general kernel selection rules thanks to penalized least-squares criteria. We derive optimal oracle inequalities using adequate concentration tools. We also investigate the problem of minimal penalty as described in [BM07].

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-09 M Lerasle , N Magalhães , P Reynaud-Bouret

Reconstruction of sets from a random sample of points intimately related to them is the goal of set estimation theory. Within this context, a particular problem is the one related with the reconstruction of density level sets and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Paula Saavedra-Nieves , Rosa María Crujeiras

In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for general nonparametric kernel-based estimation. The proposed method consists of two-stage estimation: (1) construct a consistent estimator of the target function, (2) approximate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Kota Matsui , Wataru Kumagai , Kenta Kanamori , Mitsuaki Nishikimi , Takafumi Kanamori

We study kernel estimation of highest-density regions (HDR). Our main contributions are two-fold. First, we derive a uniform-in-bandwidth asymptotic approximation to a risk that is appropriate for HDR estimation. This approximation is then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 R. J. Samworth , M. P. Wand

The bandwidth of a kernel function is a crucial parameter in the mean shift algorithm. This paper proposes a novel adaptive bandwidth strategy which contains three main contributions. (1) The differences among different adaptive bandwidth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Fanyang Meng , Hong Liu , Yongsheng Liang , Wei Liu , Jihong Pei

This paper presents new methodology for computationally efficient kernel density estimation. It is shown that a large class of kernels allows for exact evaluation of the density estimates using simple recursions. The same methodology can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-12 David P. Hofmeyr

In this paper we propose a new method of joint nonparametric estimation of probability density and its support. As is well known, nonparametric kernel density estimator has "boundary bias problem" when the support of the population density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama