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Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

Data assimilation (DA) aims at optimally merging observational data and model outputs to create a coherent statistical and dynamical picture of the system under investigation. Indeed, DA aims at minimizing the effect of observational and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-05 Yumeng Chen , Alberto Carrassi , Valerio Lucarini

We extend the methodology in [Yang et al., 2023] to learn autonomous continuous-time dynamical systems from invariant measures. The highlight of our approach is to reformulate the inverse problem of learning ODEs or SDEs from data as a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Jonah Botvinick-Greenhouse , Robert Martin , Yunan Yang

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

We develop an algebraic framework for sequential data assimilation of partially observed dynamical systems. In this framework, Bayesian data assimilation is embedded in a non-abelian operator algebra, which provides a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Brian Mintz , Abbas Ourmazd , Joanna Slawinska

Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue

Chaotic oscillators have gained significant attention in the research community because of their ability to reproduce and investigate the complex dynamics of real-world phenomena. Recent advances in the design of chaotic oscillator…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-19 Toni Ivas , Georgios Violakis , Roland Richter , Patrik Hoffmann , Sergey Shevchik

Observable operator models (OOMs) and related models are one of the most important and powerful tools for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems. They exactly describe dynamics of finite-rank systems and can be efficiently and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-22 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

Robust physics (e.g., governing equations and laws) discovery is of great interest for many engineering fields and explainable machine learning. A critical challenge compared with general training is that the term and format of governing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Zhiming Zhang , Yongming Liu

We study aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty estimation in a learned regressive system dynamics model. Disentangling aleatoric uncertainty (the inherent randomness of the system) from epistemic uncertainty (the lack of data) is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Zhiyu An , Zhibo Hou , Wan Du

Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Robert Lefringhausen , Theodor Springer , Sandra Hirche

Deep Learning has received increased attention due to its unbeatable success in many fields, such as computer vision, natural language processing, recommendation systems, and most recently in simulating multiphysics problems and predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Zakaria Elabid , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Self-organization is ubiquitous in nature and mind. However, machine learning and theories of cognition still barely touch the subject. The hurdle is that general patterns are difficult to define in terms of dynamical equations and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Danilo Vasconcellos Vargas , Tham Yik Foong , Heng Zhang

Here, we introduce a novel method for obtaining chaotic dynamics based on the Montgomery conjecture for the pair correlation of zeros of the Riemann zeta function. Motivated by the conjecture, we present a recursive relation that reveals…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-12-29 Zeraoulia Rafik , Alvaro Humberto Salas , Ayadi Souad

Despite the celebrated success of stochastic control approaches for uncertain systems, such approaches are limited in the ability to handle non-Gaussian uncertainties. This work presents an adaptive robust control for linear uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Xuehui Ma , Shiliang Zhang , Zhiyong Sun , Xiaohui Zhang , Sabita Maharjan

Data-driven control based on the fundamental lemma by Willems et al. is frequently considered for deterministic LTI systems subject to measurement noise. However, besides measurement noise, stochastic disturbances might also directly affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-14 Guanru Pan , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser

In this work, we study the problem of learning a nonlinear dynamical system by parameterizing its dynamics using basis functions. We assume that disturbances occur at each time step with an arbitrary probability $p$, which models the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Haixiang Zhang , Baturalp Yalcin , Javad Lavaei , Eduardo D. Sontag

This study suggests a new prediction model for chaotic time series inspired by the brain emotional learning of mammals. We describe the structure and function of this model, which is referred to as BELPM (Brain Emotional Learning-Based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-27 Mahboobeh Parsapoor

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge