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Related papers: EM-like Learning Chaotic Dynamics from Noisy and P…

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We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum physics. The long-term, nonlinear stability of such a system…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alberto Carrassi , Michael Ghil , Anna Trevisan , Francesco Uboldi

This paper considers estimating the parameters in a regime-switching stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) noise. The model under consideration incorporates a continuous-time finite state Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-10 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

Inferring dynamics from time series is an important objective in data analysis. In particular, it is challenging to infer stochastic dynamics given incomplete data. We propose an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm that iterates between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-25 Sangwon Lee , Vipul Periwal , Junghyo Jo

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

Chaos presents complex dynamics arising from nonlinearity and a sensitivity to initial states. These characteristics suggest a depth of expressivity that underscores their potential for advanced computational applications. However,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Shuhong Liu , Nozomi Akashi , Qingyao Huang , Yasuo Kuniyoshi , Kohei Nakajima

Learning or identifying dynamics from a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a difficult challenge in many domains, including reinforcement learning and control. The problem has recently been studied from a generative perspective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Oliver Limoyo , Bryan Chan , Filip Marić , Brandon Wagstaff , Rupam Mahmood , Jonathan Kelly

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with high dimensionality are commonly encountered in computational physics and engineering. However, finding solutions for these PDEs can be computationally expensive, making model-order reduction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Petros Koumoutsakos

We present a data-driven and interpretable approach for reducing the dimensionality of chaotic systems using spectral submanifolds (SSMs). Emanating from fixed points or periodic orbits, these SSMs are low-dimensional inertial manifolds…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Aihui Liu , Joar Axås , George Haller

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the mechanistic system that can efficiently interpolate the output of the system from arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Sudipto Banerjee , Xiang Chen , Ian Frankenburg , Daniel Zhou

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh

Systems exhibiting nonlinear dynamics, including but not limited to chaos, are ubiquitous across Earth Sciences such as Meteorology, Hydrology, Climate and Ecology, as well as Biology such as neural and cardiac processes. However, System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Nishant Yadav , Sai Ravela , Auroop R. Ganguly

Dissipative partial differential equations that exhibit chaotic dynamics tend to evolve to attractors that exist on finite-dimensional manifolds. We present a data-driven reduced order modeling method that capitalizes on this fact by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-05 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Xiaoqi Lei , Zixiang Yan , Jian Gao , Yueheng Lan , Jinghua Xiao

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Conventional recursive filtering approaches, designed for quantifying the state of an evolving uncertain dynamical system with intermittent observations, use a sequence of (i) an uncertainty propagation step followed by (ii) a step where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Wonjung Lee , Chris Farmer

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Choosing the optimal observable to model dynamical systems for which we do not know the driving equations is nearly always an ad hoc art. Takens' Delay Embedding Theorem guarantees a diffeomorphism between delay-coordinate vectors built…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Maximilian Topel

In data-driven modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena careful consideration often needs to be made in capturing the dynamics of the high wavenumbers. This problem becomes especially challenging when the system of interest exhibits shocks or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Alec J. Linot , Joshua W. Burby , Qi Tang , Prasanna Balaprakash , Michael D. Graham , Romit Maulik

Modeling complex spatiotemporal dynamics, particularly in far-from-equilibrium systems, remains a grand challenge in science. The governing partial differential equations (PDEs) for these systems are often intractable to derive from first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Xizhe Wang , Xiaobin Song , Qingshan Jia , Hao Sun , Hongbo Zhao , Benben Jiang
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