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Inference, prediction and control of complex dynamical systems from time series is important in many areas, including financial markets, power grid management, climate and weather modeling, or molecular dynamics. The analysis of such highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-19 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

Variational system identification is a new formulation of maximum likelihood for estimation of parameters of dynamical systems subject to process and measurement noise, such as aircraft flying in turbulence. This formulation is an…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-31 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

This paper studies finite-time stability and instability theorems in probability sense for stochastic nonlinear systems. Firstly, a new sufficient condition is proposed to guarantee that the considered system has a global solution.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Weihai Zhang , Liqiang Yao

In 1931, Onsager proposed a variational principle which has become the base of many kinetic equations for non-equilibrium systems. We have been showing that this principle is useful in obtaining approximate solutions for the kinetic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-03-10 Masao Doi , Jiajia Zhou , Yana Di , Xianmin Xu

We study equilibrium selection for invariant measures of stochastic dynamical systems with constant step size, under persistent noise and minimal moment assumptions, in a general quasi-Feller framework. Such dynamics arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Jean-Gabriel Attali

We investigate the stabilization of unstable multidimensional partially observed single-sensor and multi-sensor linear systems driven by unbounded noise and controlled over discrete noiseless channels under fixed-rate information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-09-21 Andrew P. Johnston , Serdar Yüksel

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We prove some invariance principles for processes which generalize FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution. The limiting processes are extensions of the fractional L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-06 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

This paper addresses the problem of stabilizing a part of variables for control systems described by stochastic differential equations of the Ito type. The considered problem is related to the asymptotic stability property of invariant sets…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Alexander Zuyev , Iryna Vasylieva

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

We study point processes on the real line whose configurations $X$ are locally finite, have a maximum and evolve through increments which are functions of correlated Gaussian variables. The correlations are intrinsic to the points and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Michael Aizenman

We consider the problem of asymptotic convergence to invariant sets in interconnected nonlinear dynamic systems. Standard approaches often require that the invariant sets be uniformly attracting. e.g. stable in the Lyapunov sense. This,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Erik Steur , Henk Nijmeijer , Cees van Leeuwen

We develop a versatile framework for statistical learning in non-stationary environments. In each time period, our approach applies a stability principle to select a look-back window that maximizes the utilization of historical data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

The dynamics of quantum droplets in 1D is analyzed on the basis of the variational approach (VA). It is shown that the VA based on the super-Gaussian function gives a good approximation of stationary states. The period of small oscillations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-01-08 Sherzod R. Otajonov , Eduard N. Tsoy , Fatkhulla Kh. Abdullaev

This paper proposes a general incremental policy iteration adaptive dynamic programming (ADP) algorithm for model-free robust optimal control of unknown nonlinear systems. The approach integrates recursive least squares estimation with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Qingkai Meng , Fenglan Wang , Lin Zhao

We use the entropy method to analyze the nonlinear dynamics and stability of a continuum kinetic model of an active nematic suspension. From the time evolution of the relative entropy -- an energy-like quantity in the kinetic model -- we…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-05 Scott Weady

Invariant manifolds provide the geometric structures for describing and understanding dynamics of nonlinear systems. The theory of invariant manifolds for both finite and infinite dimensional autonomous deterministic systems, and for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinqiao Duan , Kening Lu , Bjoern Schmalfuss

In this survey we talk about what is known as Invariance Principle in dynamical systems. It states that the disintegration of measures with zero center Lyapunov exponents admits some extra invariance by holonomies. We focus on explaining…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Karina Marin , Mauricio Poletti

In this paper we investigate how the bootstrap can be applied to time series regressions when the volatility of the innovations is random and non-stationary. The volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-12 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Anders Rahbek , Iliyan Georgiev

This paper develops new extremal principles of variational analysis that are motivated by applications to constrained problems of stochastic programming and semi-infinite programming without smoothness and/or convexity assumptions. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros