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There is a lack of formal risk management techniques in agile software development methods Scrum. The need to manage risks in agile project management is also identified by various authors. Authors of this paper conducted a survey to find…
This paper proposes a framework for developing forecasting models by streamlining the connections between core components of the developmental process. The proposed framework enables swift and robust integration of new datasets,…
Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…
Agility implies a set of principles that need to be followed in order to have the proposed responsiveness to change. This paper presents how the Agile Adoption Framework can be used to assess agility and pinpoint focus areas for companies…
A retention strategy based on an enlightened lapse model is a powerful profitabilitylever for a life insurer. Some machine learning models are excellent at predicting lapse,but from the insurer's perspective, predicting which policyholder…
Risk-bounded motion planning is an important yet difficult problem for safety-critical tasks. While existing mathematical programming methods offer theoretical guarantees in the context of constrained Markov decision processes, they either…
[Context and motivation:] For realistic self-adaptive systems, multiple quality attributes need to be considered and traded off against each other. These quality attributes are commonly encoded in a utility function, for instance, a…
Active inference is a formal approach to study cognition based on the notion that adaptive agents can be seen as engaging in a process of approximate Bayesian inference, via the minimisation of variational and expected free energies.…
Despite actionable insight is widely recognized as the outcome of data analytics, there is a lack of a systematic and commonly-shared definition for the term. More importantly, existing definitions are generally too abstract for informing…
Active learning aims to reduce annotation cost by predicting which samples are useful for a human expert to label. Although this field is quite old, several important challenges to using active learning in real-world settings still remain…
The globalization feeded by the technology explosion that begans in the end of the last century, started the world to change faster every day. The only today's certain is the tomorrow's uncertain. Risk is defined as uncertain where one or…
In neural networks literature, there is a strong interest in identifying and defining activation functions which can improve neural network performance. In recent years there has been a renovated interest of the scientific community in…
Large language models (LLMs) have emerged as powerful tools in the field of finance, particularly for risk management across different asset classes. In this work, we introduce a Cross-Asset Risk Management framework that utilizes LLMs to…
Continued interest in sustainable investing calls for an axiomatic approach to measures of risk and reward that focus not only on financial returns, but also on measures of environmental and social sustainability, i.e. environmental,…
This work proposes a unified framework for portfolio allocation, covering both asset selection and optimization, based on a multiple-hypothesis predict-then-optimize approach. The portfolio is modeled as a structured ensemble, where each…
Model interpretation, or explanation of a machine learning classifier, aims to extract generalizable knowledge from a trained classifier into a human-understandable format, for various purposes such as model assessment, debugging and trust.…
In recent years, there has been an increased need for the use of active systems - systems required to act automatically based on events, or changes in the environment. Such systems span many areas, from active databases to applications that…
Financial potential is an important part of enterprise activities. The technique of the enterprise's financial potential assessment is offered in the paper. It is presented by particular stages, where each stage is related to a certain…
Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to…
Machine learning (ML) methods have been developing rapidly, but configuring and selecting proper methods to achieve a desired performance is increasingly difficult and tedious. To address this challenge, automated machine learning (AutoML)…